Daniel Kingston imageSenior Lecturer

BSc(Hons)(Shef)
MSc(E Anglia)
PhD(Birm)

Richardson Building, room 4C11
Office Hours: email to make an appointment
Tel +64 3 479 8971
Email daniel.kingston@otago.ac.nz

Teaching

Research interests

I am interested in all things related to weather, climate and climate change, but my main focus lies in the field of hydroclimatology – i.e. the inter-relationships between the climate system and hydrological cycle. Within the general field of hydroclimatology, my work can largely be split into two themes:

  1. Processes linking present day climate variation to changes in surface hydrology, including evaporation, snow cover, river flow and lake levels. This work involves statistical analyses of historical hydrological time series and the cascade of processes linking large-scale climate variation to regional and catchment-scale hydrological processes. A particular focus is the drivers of hydrological extremes and how these are influenced by large-scale climate variation, including atmospheric circulation patterns such as the Northern and Southern Annular Modes
  2. The uncertainty associated with how hydrological processes may respond under scenarios of climate change. This involves offline coupling of catchment-scale hydrological models with climate model output, focussing on understanding the role of emissions, climate model and hydrological model-based uncertainty in shaping projections of 21st century hydrological change and associated implications for water resources

Potential future projects

I would welcome inquiries from any student interested in topics based on climatology in general, and especially on links between the climate system, climate change and hydrological variation. Specific subject areas that I would welcome applications on include:

  • Uncertainty in hydrological models under climate change scenarios
  • Uncertainty in potential evapotranspiration under climate change
  • Drought detection and attribution
  • Atmospheric rivers
  • The role of Southern Hemisphere atmospheric circulation for the climate of New Zealand

Recent postgraduate supervision

  • A. Jobst, Impacts of climate change on the hydrology of the Clutha catchment.
  • M. Rawlyk, A Synoptic Scale Meteorological Investigation of Springtime Frost Incidence in Cromwell
  • A. Dowson, Seasonal variation of surface albedo of the Gardens of Eden and Allah, Southern Alps, New Zealand
  • K. Little, Physical controls on the mass balance of Brewster Glacier, Southern Alps.
  • R. Jones, Uncertainty in climate change impacts on Southern Alps river flow: the role of hydrological model complexity.
  • J. Loft, The influence of water scarcity and drought on the Lindis River, Central Otago.
  • J. Kidd, Investigating the link between large-scale atmospheric circulation and drought in New Zealand.
  • L. Koedyk, The impact of uncertainty in PET methods in the projection of river flow under climate change.
  • E. Reeves, Modelling the hydrological impacts of land use change and integrating cultural perspectives in the Waikouaiti catchment, Otago, New Zealand.
  • K. Duff, Predicting flow response of the Kakanui river flow climate change and land use intensification.
  • D. Gawith, Water stress vulnerability in the Himalayas of Nepal.
  • C. Webster, Inter-annual variation in the physiographic controls on catchment-scale snow distribution in the central Southern Alps, New Zealand.
  • M. Shepherd, An Analysis of Extreme Precipitation Events in New Zealand using two Case Studies: Auckland and Whataroa
  • M. Bennet, Detecting a climate change signal in New Zealand aridity
  • F. Isaacs, Estimating Evapotranspiration Over Snow Tussock Grassland
  • S. Peren, Climate change and land use change on the Kakanui River.
  • G. Hampton, Will the proposed Leith Lindsay protection scheme for the Lindsay Creek provide sufficient protection for a 1 in 100 year flood under 'dangerous' climate change?
  • D. Gawith, The effects of climate change on runoff in the Lindis and Matukituki catchments, Central Otago, New Zealand.

Publications

Pohl, B., Prince, H. D., Wille, J., Kingston, D. G., Cullen, N. J., & Fauchereau, N. (2023). Atmospheric rivers and weather types in Aotearoa New Zealand: A two‐way story. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 128, e2022JD037209. doi: 10.1029/2022JD037209
Journal - Research Article
Bennet, M., Kingston, D., & Cullen, N. (2022). Development of an Extreme Hydrometeorological Event Index. Proceedings of the 13th International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and Oceanography (ICSHMO). Retrieved from https://confer.eventsair.com/icshmo-2022
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Walker, D. W., Vergopolan, N., Cavalcante, L., Almagro, A., Apurv, T., Kingston, D. G., … Wanders, N. (2022). Flash droughts: Bridging the understanding between physical definitions and societal impacts. Proceedings of the European Geosciences Union (EGU) General Assembly. EGU22-11138. doi: 10.5194/egusphere-egu22-11138
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Van Loon, A. F., Rangecroft, S., Coxon, G., Werner, M., Wanders, N., Di Baldassarre, G., … Kingston, D. G., Loft, J., Mager, S. M., … Van Lanen, H. A. J. (2022). Streamflow droughts aggravated by human activities despite management. Environmental Research Letters, 17(4), 044059. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac5def
Journal - Research Article
Bennet, M. J., & Kingston, D. G. (2022). Spatial patterns of atmospheric vapour transport and their connection to drought in New Zealand. International Journal of Climatology, 42, 5661-5681. doi: 10.1002/joc.7554
Journal - Research Article
Pohl, B., Prince, H. D., Wille, J., Kingston, D. G., Cullen, N. J., & Fauchereau, N. (2023). Atmospheric rivers and weather types in Aotearoa New Zealand: A two‐way story. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 128, e2022JD037209. doi: 10.1029/2022JD037209
Journal - Research Article
Bennet, M. J., & Kingston, D. G. (2022). Spatial patterns of atmospheric vapour transport and their connection to drought in New Zealand. International Journal of Climatology, 42, 5661-5681. doi: 10.1002/joc.7554
Journal - Research Article
Kingston, D. G., Lavers, D. A., & Hannah, D. M. (2022). Characteristics and large-scale drivers of atmospheric rivers associated with extreme floods in New Zealand. International Journal of Climatology, 42, 3208-3224. doi: 10.1002/joc.7415
Journal - Research Article
Van Loon, A. F., Rangecroft, S., Coxon, G., Werner, M., Wanders, N., Di Baldassarre, G., … Kingston, D. G., Loft, J., Mager, S. M., … Van Lanen, H. A. J. (2022). Streamflow droughts aggravated by human activities despite management. Environmental Research Letters, 17(4), 044059. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac5def
Journal - Research Article
Kingston, D. G., Mager, S. M., Loft, J., & Underwood, G. (2021). An upstream–downstream/observation–model approach to quantify the human influence on drought. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 66(2), 226-238. doi: 10.1080/02626667.2020.1849706
Journal - Research Article
Prince, H. D., Cullen, N. J., Gibson, P. B., Conway, J., & Kingston, D. G. (2021). A climatology of atmospheric rivers in New Zealand. Journal of Climate, 34, 4383-4402. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0664.1
Journal - Research Article
Thompson, J. R., Laizé, C. L. R., Acreman, M. C., Crawley, A., & Kingston, D. G. (2021). Impacts of climate change on environmental flows in West Africa's Upper Niger Basin and the Inner Niger Delta. Hydrology Research, 52(4), 958-974. doi: 10.2166/nh.2021.041
Journal - Research Article
Kutiel, H., Salinger, J., & Kingston, D. G. (2020). Spatial and temporal characteristics of rain-spells in New Zealand. Theoretical & Applied Climatology, 142, 329-348. doi: 10.1007/s00704-020-03287-0
Journal - Research Article
Cullen, N. J., Gibson, P. B., Mölg, T., Conway, J. P., Sirguey, P., & Kingston, D. G. (2019). The influence of weather systems in controlling mass balance in the Southern Alps of New Zealand. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 124, 4514-4529. doi: 10.1029/2018JD030052
Journal - Research Article
Little, K., Kingston, D. G., Cullen, N. J., & Gibson, P. B. (2019). The role of atmospheric rivers for extreme ablation and snowfall events in the Southern Alps of New Zealand. Geophysical Research Letters, 46, 2761-2771. doi: 10.1029/2018GL081669
Journal - Research Article
Jobst, A. M., Kingston, D. G., Cullen, N. J., & Schmid, J. (2018). Intercomparison of different uncertainty sources in hydrological climate change projections for an alpine catchment (upper Clutha River, New Zealand). Hydrology & Earth System Sciences, 22(6), 3125-3142. doi: 10.5194/hess-22-3125-2018
Journal - Research Article
Gawith, D., Hill, D., & Kingston, D. (2017). Determinants of vulnerability to the hydrological effects of climate change in rural communities: Evidence from Nepal. Climate & Development, 9(1), 50-65. doi: 10.1080/17565529.2015.1067184
Journal - Research Article
Ionita, M., Tallaksen, L. M., Kingston, D. G., Stagge, J. H., Laaha, G., Van Lanen, H. A. J., … Haslinger, K. (2017). The European 2015 drought from a climatological perspective. Hydrology & Earth System Sciences, 21(3), 1397-1419. doi: 10.5194/hess-21-1397-2017
Journal - Research Article
Jobst, A. M., Kingston, D. G., Cullen, N. J., & Sirguey, P. (2017). Combining thin-plate spline interpolation with a lapse rate model to produce daily air temperature estimates in a data-sparse alpine catchment. International Journal of Climatology, 37(1), 214-229. doi: 10.1002/joc.4699
Journal - Research Article
Laaha, G., Gauster, T., Tallaksen, L. M., Vidal, J.-P., Stahl, K., Prudhomme, C., … Kingston, D., … Wong, W. K. (2017). The European 2015 drought from a hydrological perspective. Hydrology & Earth System Sciences, 21(6), 3001-3024. doi: 10.5194/hess-21-3001-2017
Journal - Research Article
Schulz, L., & Kingston, D. (2017). GCM-related uncertainty in river flow projections at the threshold for “dangerous” climate change: The Kalu Ganga river, Sri Lanka. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 62(14), 2369-2380. doi: 10.1080/02626667.2017.1381965
Journal - Research Article
Stagge, J. H., Kingston, D. G., Tallaksen, L. M., & Hannah, D. M. (2017). Observed drought indices show increasing divergence across Europe. Scientific Reports, 7, 14045. doi: 10.1038/s41598-017-14283-2
Journal - Research Article
Thompson, J. R., Crawley, A., & Kingston, D. G. (2017). Future river flows and flood extent in the Upper Niger and Inner Niger Delta: GCM-related uncertainty using the CMIP5 ensemble. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 62(14), 2239-2265. doi: 10.1080/02626667.2017.1383608
Journal - Research Article
Kingston, D. G., Webster, C. S., & Sirguey, P. (2016). Atmospheric circulation drivers of lake inflow for the Waitaki River, New Zealand. International Journal of Climatology, 36(3), 1102-1113. doi: 10.1002/joc.4405
Journal - Research Article
Kingston, D., Lavers, D. A., & Hannah, D. M. (2016). Floods in the Southern Alps of New Zealand: The importance of atmospheric rivers. Hydrological Processes, 30(26), 5063-5070. doi: 10.1002/hyp.10982
Journal - Research Article
Koedyk, L. P., & Kingston, D. G. (2016). Potential evapotranspiration method influence on climate change impacts on river flow: A mid-latitude case study. Hydrology Research, 47(5), 951-963. doi: 10.2166/nh.2016.152
Journal - Research Article
Thompson, J. R., Crawley, A., & Kingston, D. G. (2016). GCM-related uncertainty for river flows and inundation under climate change: The Inner Niger Delta. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 61(13), 2325-2347. doi: 10.1080/02626667.2015.1117173
Journal - Research Article
Kingston, D. G., Stagge, J. H., Tallaksen, L. M., & Hannah, D. M. (2015). European-scale drought: Understanding connections between atmospheric circulation and meteorological drought indices. Journal of Climate, 28(2), 505-516. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00001.1
Journal - Research Article
Webster, C. S., Kingston, D. G., & Kerr, T. (2015). Inter-annual variation in the topographic controls on catchment-scale snow distribution in a maritime alpine catchment, New Zealand. Hydrological Processes, 29(6), 1096-1109. doi: 10.1002/hyp.10224
Journal - Research Article
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