Lucy's research interests cover seasonal and cold-temperature related morbidity and mortality; respiratory disease epidemiology; housing quality; tenancy law; and implementation of the WHO Healthy Housing Guidelines.
She produces the biennial Impact of Respiratory Disease report for the Asthma and Respiratory Foundation, and is currently on the Foundation’s Scientific Advisory Board. Lucy also co-ordinates He Kāinga Oranga’s WHO Collaborating Centre on Housing and wellbeing.
Publications
Howden-Chapman, P., Crane, J., Keall, M., Pierse, N., Baker, M. G., Cunningham, C., … Aspinall, C., Bennett, J., Bierre, S., … Chisholm, E., Davies, C., Fougere, G., Fraser, B., Fyfe, C., Grant, L., … Halley, C., Logan-Riley, A., … Olin, C., Ombler, J., O'Sullivan, K., Pehi, T., Penny, G., … Randal, E., … Robson, B., Ruru, J., Shaw, C., … Teariki, M. A., Telfar Barnard, L., Tiatia, R., Toy-Cronin, B., … Viggers, H., … Zhang, W. (2024). He Kāinga Oranga: Reflections on 25 years of measuring the improved health, wellbeing and sustainability of healthier housing. Journal of the Royal Society of New Zealand, 54(3), 290-315. doi: 10.1080/03036758.2023.2170427
Journal - Research Other
Telfar-Barnard, L., Baker, M. G., Wilson, N., & Howden-Chapman, P. (2023). The rise and fall of excess winter mortality in New Zealand from 1876 to 2020. International Journal of Biometeorology. Advance online publication. doi: 10.1007/s00484-023-02573-6
Journal - Research Article
Fyfe, C., Telfar Barnard, L., Howden-Chapman, P., & Bennett, J. (2023). An examination of the growth of Airbnb in New Zealand and its impact on the private rental housing market: 2016–2021. New Zealand Geographer. Advance online publication. doi: 10.1111/nzg.12375
Journal - Research Article
Summers, J., Kvalsvig, A., Telfar Barnard, L., Bennett, J., Harwood, M., Wilson, N., & Baker, M. G. (2023). Improvements and persisting challenges in COVID-19 response compared with 1918–19 influenza pandemic response, New Zealand (Aotearoa) [Historical review]. Emerging Infectious Diseases, 29(9), 1827-1836. doi: 10.3201/eid2909.221265
Journal - Research Article
Kvalsvig, A., Tuari-Toma, B., Timu-Parata, C., Bennett, J., Sinnema, C., Summers, J., Davies, C., Jackson, C., … Telfar Barnard, L., & Baker, M. G. (2023). Protecting school communities from COVID-19 and other infectious disease outbreaks: The urgent need for healthy schools in Aotearoa New Zealand. New Zealand Medical Journal/Te ara tika o te hauora hapori, 136(1571), 7-19. Retrieved from https://journal.nzma.org.nz/
Journal - Research Other
Lopes, L. S., Valentini, J. P., Monteiro, T. H., de Freitas Costacurta, M. C., Soares, L. O. N., Telfar-Barnard, L., & Nunes, P. V. (2022). Problematic social media use and its relationship with depression or anxiety: A systematic review. Cyberpsychology, Behavior & Social Networking, 25(11), 691-702. doi: 10.1089/cyber.2021.0300
Journal - Research Article
Fyfe, C., Telfar Barnard, L., Douwes, J., Howden-Chapman, P., & Crane, J. (2022). Retrofitting home insulation reduces incidence and severity of chronic respiratory disease. Indoor Air, 32, e13101. doi: 10.1111/ina.13101
Journal - Research Article
Bennett, J., Shorter, C., Kvalsvig, A., Telfar Barnard, L., Wilson, N., Crane, J., Douwes, J., Cunningham, C., … Summers, J., … Baker, M. G., & Howden-Chapman, P. (2022). Indoor air quality, largely neglected and in urgent need of a refresh. New Zealand Medical Journal, 135(1559), 136-139. Retrieved from https://journal.nzma.org.nz
Journal - Research Other
Shorter, C., Crane, J., Barnes, P., Kang, J., Honeywill, C., Robertson, O., O'Sullivan, K., Telfar-Barnard, L., Pierse, N., & Howden-Chapman, P. (2022). The cost of achieving healthy temperatures in children's bedrooms: Evidence from New Zealand. Energy Policy, 164, 112861. doi: 10.1016/j.enpol.2022.112861
Journal - Research Article
Kvalsvig, A., Telfar Barnard, L., Summers, J., & Baker, M. G. (2022). Integrated prevention and control of seasonal respiratory infections in Aotearoa New Zealand: Next steps for transformative change. Policy Quarterly, 18(1), 44-51. doi: 10.26686/pq.v18i1.7500
Journal - Research Article
Everts, R. J., Al Ghusaini, S., Telfar-Barnard, L., Barclay, E., Tan, S., Jekel, S., Jennings, L., … Hilson, D., & Gibson, B. (2022). Liquid-immersion reprocessing effects on filtration efficiency of 'single-use' commercial medical face masks. Annals of Work Exposures & Health, 66(2), 246-259. doi: 10.1093/annweh/wxab079
Journal - Research Article
Fyfe, C., Telfar Barnard, L., Howden-Chapman, P., & Douwes, J. (2021). From hearth to health: An investigation into the health impacts of the Warm Up New Zealand home insulation subsidy programme. Proceedings of the 15th Otago Energy Research Centre (OERC) Symposium: The Challenge of Net Zero by 2050. Retrieved from https://www.otago.ac.nz/oerc/symposia
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Cunningham, R., Shaw, C., Kvalsvig, A., Telfar Barnard, L., Mizdrak, A., Atatoa Carr, P., … McLeod, M., & Hume, C. (2020). COVID-19 in children. Commissioned by Ministry of Health. Wellington, New Zealand: Manatū Hauora: Ministry of Health. 10p. Retrieved from https://www.health.govt.nz/publication/covid-19-modelling-and-other-commissioned-reports
Commissioned Report for External Body
Shaw, C., Kvalsvig, A., Telfar-Barnard, L., Mizdrak, A., Atatoa-Carr, P., McLeod, M., & Cunningham, R. (2020). Background and overview of approaches to COVID-19 pandemic control in Aotearoa/New Zealand. Commissioned by Ministry of Health. Wellington, New Zealand: Manatū Hauora: Ministry of Health. 21p. Retrieved from https://www.health.govt.nz/publication/covid-19-modelling-and-other-commissioned-reports
Commissioned Report for External Body
Cunningham, R., Shaw, C., Kvalsvig, A., Telfar Barnard, L., Mizdrak, A., Atatoa Carr, P., … McLeod, M., & Hume, C. (2020). Case and contact management: Monitoring and reporting to achieve and sustain elimination of COVID-19. Commissioned by Ministry of Health. Wellington, New Zealand: Manatū Hauora: Ministry of Health. 18p. Retrieved from https://www.health.govt.nz/publication/covid-19-modelling-and-other-commissioned-reports
Commissioned Report for External Body
Cunningham, R., Shaw, C., Kvalsvig, A., Telfar Barnard, L., Mizdrak, A., Atatoa Carr, P., … McLeod, M., & Hume, C. (2020). Control measures to deliver COVID-19 strategies: Education sector evidence review. Commissioned by Ministry of Health. Wellington, New Zealand: Manatū Hauora: Ministry of Health. 16p. Retrieved from https://www.health.govt.nz/publication/covid-19-modelling-and-other-commissioned-reports
Commissioned Report for External Body
Kvalsvig, A., Summers, J., Gray, L., Telfar Barnard, L., & Baker, M. G. (2020). COVID-19 outbreaks in Aotearoa New Zealand: Urgent action is required to address systematic causes and consequences of border failures. New Zealand Medical Journal, 133(1527), 8-14. Retrieved from https://www.nzma.org.nz/journal
Journal - Research Other
Fyfe, C., Telfar-Barnard, L., Howden-Chapman, P., & Douwes, J. (2020). Association between home insulation and hospital admission rates: Retrospective cohort study using linked data from a national intervention programme. BMJ, 371, m4571. doi: 10.1136/bmj.m4571
Journal - Research Article
Telfar Barnard, L. F. (2020). Time for time off? Secondary public holiday shows minimal net hospitalisation benefit. Journal of Epidemiology & Community Health, 75, 581-586. doi: 10.1136/jech-2020-215327
Journal - Research Article
Telfar Barnard, L., Howden-Chapman, P., & Pierse, N. (2020). Renting poorer housing: Ecological relationships between tenure, dwelling condition, and income and housing-sensitive hospitalizations in a developed country. Health Education & Behavior, 47(6), 816-824. doi: 10.1177/1090198120945923
Journal - Research Article
Summers, J., Cheng, H.-Y., Lin, H.-H., Telfar Barnard, L., Kvalsvig, A., Wilson, N., & Baker, M. G. (2020). Potential lessons from the Taiwan and New Zealand health responses to the COVID-19 pandemic. Lancet Regional Health: Western Pacific, 4, 100044. doi: 10.1016/j.lanwpc.2020.100044
Journal - Research Other
Wilson, N., Kvalsvig, A., Telfar Barnard, L., & Baker, M. G. (2020). Case-fatality risk estimates for COVID-19 calculated by using a lag time for fatality. Emerging Infectious Diseases, 26(6), 1339-1341. doi: 10.3201/eid2606.200320
Journal - Research Other
Baker, M., Kvalsvig, A., Telfar Barnard, L., Gray, L., Verrall, A., & Wilson, N. (2020). Potential preventive interventions for the “Stamp it out” and “Manage it” phase of the Covid-19 pandemic in New Zealand. Commissioned by New Zealand Ministry of Health. Wellington, New Zealand: University of Otago. 16p. Retrieved from https://www.health.govt.nz/publication/covid-19-modelling-and-other-commissioned-reports
Commissioned Report for External Body
Baker, M. G., Kvalsvig, A., Verrall, A. J., Telfar-Barnard, L., & Wilson, N. (2020). New Zealand's elimination strategy for the COVID-19 pandemic and what is required to make it work. New Zealand Medical Journal, 133(1512), 10-14. Retrieved from https://www.nzma.org.nz/journal
Journal - Research Other
Telfar Barnard, L., Wilson, N., Kvalsvig, A., & Baker, M. (2020). Modelled estimates for the spread and health impact of Covid-19 in New Zealand: Revised preliminary report to the NZ Ministry of Health. Commissioned by Ministry of Health. Wellington, New Zealand: University of Otago. 15p. Retrieved from https://www.health.govt.nz/publication/covid-19-modelling-reports
Commissioned Report for External Body
Wilson, N., Telfar Barnard, L., & Baker, M. (2020). Rationale for border control interventions and options to prevent or delay the arrival of Covid-19 in New Zealand: Final commissioned report for the New Zealand Ministry of Health. Commissioned by Ministry of Health. Wellington, New Zealand: University of Otago. 10p. Retrieved from https://www.health.govt.nz/publication/covid-19-modelling-reports
Commissioned Report for External Body
Wilson, N., Telfar Barnard, L., Kvalsvig, A., & Baker, M. (2020). Potential health impacts from the COVID-19 pandemic for New Zealand if eradication fails: Report to the NZ Ministry of Health. Commissioned by Ministry of Health. Wellington, New Zealand: University of Otago. 22p. Retrieved from https://www.health.govt.nz/publication/covid-19-modelling-reports
Commissioned Report for External Body
Kvalsvig, A., Telfar Barnard, L., Gray, L., Wilson, N., & Baker, M. (2020). Supporting the COVID-19 pandemic response: Surveillance and outbreak analytics. Commissioned by Ministry of Health. Wellington, New Zealand: University of Otago. 33p. Retrieved from https://www.health.govt.nz/publication/covid-19-modelling-reports
Commissioned Report for External Body
Wilson, N., Kvalsvig, A., Telfar Barnard, L., & Baker, M. G. (2020). Estimating the case fatality risk of COVID-19 using cases from outside China. medRxiv. doi: 10.1101/2020.02.15.20023499
Working Paper; Discussion Paper; Technical Report
Donovan, S., & Telfar-Barnard, L. (2019). Age of first menstruation in New Zealand: Findings from first ever national-level data and implications for age-appropriate education and support. New Zealand Medical Journal, 132(1500), 100-102. Retrieved from https://www.nzma.org.nz/journal
Journal - Research Other
Telfar-Barnard, L., Bennett, J., Robinson, A., Hailes, A., Ombler, J., & Howden-Chapman, P. (2019). Evidence base for a housing warrant of fitness. SAGE Open Medicine, 7. doi: 10.1177/2050312119843028
Journal - Research Article
Chisholm, E., Keall, M., Bennett, J., Marshall, A., Telfar-Barnard, L., Thornley, L., & Howden-Chapman, P. (2019). Why don't owners improve their homes? Results from a survey following a housing warrant-of-fitness assessment for health and safety. Australian & New Zealand Journal of Public Health, 43(3), 221-227. doi: 10.1111/1753-6405.12895
Journal - Research Article
Telfar Barnard, L., & Bennett, J. (2018). Housing quality, home safety, rental housing, environmental health, housing assessment. Proceedings of the 8th International Conference on Energy and Environment of Residential Buildings (ICEERB): Housing Sustainability in Urban Areas. (pp. 27). Retrieved from https://www.otago.ac.nz/iceerb-2018
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Telfar-Barnard, L. (2018, August). The rental housing 'warrant of fitness': From evidence to policy. Department of Public Health, University of Otago, Wellington, New Zealand. [Department Seminar].
Other Research Output
Preval, N., Keall, M., Telfar-Barnard, L., Grimes, A., & Howden-Chapman, P. (2017). Impact of improved insulation and heating on mortality risk of older cohort members with prior cardiovascular or respiratory hospitalisations. BMJ Open, 7(11), e018079. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2017-018079
Journal - Research Article
Telfar-Barnard, L., Bennett, J., Howden-Chapman, P., Jacobs, D. E., Ormandy, D., Cutler-Welsh, M., Preval, N., Baker, M. G., & Keall, M. (2017). Measuring the effect of housing quality interventions: The case of the New Zealand "Rental Warrant of Fitness". International Journal of Environmental Research & Public Health, 14(11), 1352. doi: 10.3390/ijerph14111352
Journal - Research Article
Howden-Chapman, P., Chisholm, E., Telfar Barnard, L., Viggers, H., O'Sullivan, K., Bennett, J., Bierre, S., Preval, N., Randal, E., Tiatia, R., Ombler, J., Amore, K., Rivera-Muñoz, G., … Davies, C., Aspinall, C., Oliver, J., Baker, M., Keall, M., … Crane, J., & Pierse, N. (2017). Housing, energy and health in resilient cities. In P. Howden-Chapman, L. Early & J. Ombler (Eds.), Cities in New Zealand: Preferences, patterns and possibilities. (pp. 95-106). Wellington, New Zealand: Steele Roberts Aotearoa.
Chapter in Book - Research
Khieu, T. Q. T., Pierse, N., Telfar-Barnard, L. F., Zhang, J., Huang, Q. S., & Baker, M. G. (2017). Modelled seasonal influenza mortality shows marked differences in risk by age, sex, ethnicity and socioeconomic position in New Zealand. Journal of Infection, 75(3), 225-233. doi: 10.1016/j.jinf.2017.05.017
Journal - Research Article
Telfar-Barnard, L., & Bennett, J. (2016). The case for minimum rental housing standards. The Lens, 2(1), 5.
Journal - Research Other
Telfar Barnard, L. (2016, February). Health effects of mechanised residential ventilation systems. Verbal presentation at the Australasian Housing Researchers Conference (AHRC), Auckland, New Zealand.
Conference Contribution - Verbal presentation and other Conference outputs
Grimes, A., Preval, N., Young, C., Arnold, R., Denne, T., Howden-Chapman, P., & Telfar Barnard, L. (2016). Does retrofitted insulation reduce household energy use? Theory and practice. Energy Journal, 37(4), 165-186. doi: 10.5547/01956574.37.4.agri
Journal - Research Article
Hajat, S., & Telfar Barnard, L. (2016). Heat-related and cold-related mortality and morbidity. In Climate change and global health. (Revised reprint ed.) (pp. 21-37). Wallingford, UK: CABI International.
Chapter in Book - Research
O'Sullivan, K., Telfar Barnard, L., Viggers, H., & Howden-Chapman, P. (2016). Child and youth fuel poverty: Assessing the known and unknown. People, Place & Policy, 10(1), 77-87. doi: 10.3351/ppp.0010.0001.0006
Journal - Research Article
Khieu, T. Q. T., Pierse, N., Telfar-Barnard, L. F., Huang, Q. S., & Baker, M. G. (2015). Estimating the contribution of influenza to hospitalisations in New Zealand from 1994 to 2008. Vaccine, 33(33), 4087-4092. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2015.06.080
Journal - Research Article
Telfar Barnard, L. F., Baker, M. G., Hales, S., & Howden-Chapman, P. (2015). Novel use of three administrative datasets to establish a cohort for environmental health research. BMC Public Health, 15, 246. doi: 10.1186/s12889-015-1580-1
Journal - Research Article
Hajat, S., & Telfar Barnard, L. (2014). Heat-related and cold-related mortality and morbidity. In C. D. Butler (Ed.), Climate change and global health. (pp. 21-37). Abingdon, UK: CABI International.
Chapter in Book - Other
Telfar Barnard, L., Baker, M., Hales, S., & Howden-Chapman, P. (2014). New Zealand excess winter hospitalisation: An opportunity for disease prevention? Proceedings of the New Zealand Population Health Congress: Connecting Communities, Policy and Science. (pp. 311). Retrieved from http://www.pophealthcongress.org.nz/nzphc14/programme/programme
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Cook, H., & Telfar-Barnard, L. (2014). Café culture and the normalisation of high noise levels. Proceedings of the New Zealand Population Health Congress: Connecting Communities, Policy and Science. (pp. 236). Retrieved from http://www.pophealthcongress.org.nz/nzphc14/programme/programme
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Khieu, T., Zhang, J., Pierse, N., Telfar Barnard, L., & Baker, M. (2014). Estimating the contribution of influenza to hospitalisations in New Zealand. Proceedings of the New Zealand Population Health Congress: Connecting Communities, Policy and Science. (pp. 179). Retrieved from http://www.pophealthcongress.org.nz/nzphc14/programme/programme
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Preval, N., Howden-Chapman, P., Grimes, A., Young, C., Denne, T., Telfar-Barnard, L., & Arnold, R. (2014). Evaluation of warm up New Zealand: Heat smart. Proceedings of the Otago Energy Research Centre (OERC) Symposium. (pp. 18). Retrieved from http://www.otago.ac.nz/oerc/
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Pearson, A. L., Telfar Barnard, L., Pearce, J., Kingham, S., & Howden-Chapman, P. (2014). Housing quality and resilience in New Zealand. Building Research & Information, 42(2), 182-190. doi: 10.1080/09613218.2014.850603
Journal - Research Article
Hajat, S., & Telfar Barnard, L. (2013). Cold-related mortality and morbidity. In J. Adegoke & C. Y. Wright (Eds.), Climate vulnerability: Vulnerability of human health to climate (Vol. 1). (pp. 157-164). Amsterdam, The Netherlands: Academic Press. doi: 10.1016/B978-0-12-384703-4.00121-0
Chapter in Book - Research
Baker, M. G., Telfar Barnard, L., Kvalsvig, A., Verrall, A., Zhang, J., Keall, M., Wilson, N., … Howden-Chapman, P. (2012). Increasing incidence of serious infectious diseases and inequalities in New Zealand: A national epidemiological study. Lancet, 379(9821), 1112-1119. doi: 10.1016/s0140-6736(11)61780-7
Journal - Research Article
Wilson, N., Telfar Barnard, L., Summers, J. A., Shanks, G. D., & Baker, M. G. (2012). Differential mortality rates by ethnicity in 3 influenza pandemics over a century, New Zealand. Emerging Infectious Diseases, 18(1), 71-77. doi: 10.3201/eid1801.110035
Journal - Research Article
Howden-Chapman, P., Viggers, H., Chapman, R., O'Sullivan, K., Telfar Barnard, L., & Lloyd, B. (2012). Tackling cold housing and fuel poverty in New Zealand: A review of policies, research, and health impacts. Energy Policy, 49, 134-142. doi: 10.1016/j.enpol.2011.09.044
Journal - Research Article
Wilson, N., Telfar Barnard, L., Summers, J., Shanks, D., & Baker, M. (2011). Relatively high mortality for Maori and Pacific peoples in the 2009 influenza pandemic and comparisons with previous pandemics. Journal of Epidemiology & Community Health, 65(Suppl. 1), (pp. A356). doi: 10.1136/jech.2011.142976m.16
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Telfar Barnard, L., Baker, M., Hales, S., & Howden-Chapman, P. (2011). Death and hospitalisation have different seasonality. Journal of Epidemiology & Community Health, 65(Suppl. 1), (pp. A465). doi: 10.1136/jech.2011.142976q.11
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Telfar Barnard, L. (2009, September). New Zealand excess winter hospitalisation: Do some houses provide less protection than others? Poster session presented at the Third Annual Division of Health Sciences Research Forum, Wellington, New Zealand.
Conference Contribution - Poster Presentation (not in published proceedings)
Mann, S., Baker, M., Hales, S., Kamalesh, V., Telfar Barnard, L., Zhang, J., & Howden-Chapman, P. (2009). Cardiovascular mortality and morbidity in New Zealand is higher in winter in all disease subcategories. Heart, Lung & Circulation, 18(Suppl. 3), (pp. S256). doi: 10.1016/j.hlc.2009.05.631
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Mann, S., Baker, M., Hales, S., Kamalesh, V., Telfar Barnard, L., Zhang, J., & Howden-Chapman, P. (2009). Excess winter cardiovascular mortality and morbidity in New Zealand is seen in all disease subcategories. Heart, Lung & Circulation, 18(Suppl. 2), (pp. S21-S22). doi: 10.1016/j.hlc.2009.04.050
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Telfar Barnard, L. F., Baker, M. G., Hales, S., & Howden-Chapman, P. L. (2008). Excess winter morbidity and mortality: Do housing and socio-economic status have an effect? Reviews on Environmental Health, 23(3), 203-221.
Journal - Research Article