My PhD was in physics but I moved into statistics courtesy of an EPSRC (UK) Statistics Mobility Fellowship. I have been a member of the Department of Mathematics and Statistics since 2011.
I am currently a principal investigator at Te Pūnaha Matatini Centre for Research Excellence. I am deputy leader of NZ Science Group, which is part of the Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) Consortium. I am also a past President of the NZ Statistical Association (2020–2022).
My research expertise is mathematical and statistical modelling. My research is currently focused on applications of scoring rules in statistics, modelling epidemics in plants and human populations, analysis of solar storms and geomagnetic events, statistical analysis of gravitational waves, modelling of methylation and epigenetic modification, and the development of new algorithms for statistical inference. These activities are strongly influenced by my background in physics and computational methods.
I am actively looking for Honours and postgraduate students to work on projects in these areas. I value mathematical and computational ability as much as I do statistical background.
Publications
Nanayakkara, S., Zeng, J., Turner, R., Parry, M., & Sywak, M. (2023). Development and internal validation of clinical risk prediction models for structural recurrence disease of thyroid cancer. Proceedings of the New Zealand Biostatistics Conference. Retrieved from https://events.otago.ac.nz/2023-biostatistics-conference
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Yassi, M., Chatterjee, A., & Parry, M. (2023). Application of deep learning in cancer epigenetics through DNA methylation analysis. Briefings in Bioinformatics, 24(6). doi: 10.1093/bib/bbad411
Journal - Research Other
Richter, M. E., Leonard, G. H., Smith, I. J., Langhorne, P. J., & Parry, M. (2023). Interannual variability of fast-ice thickness in McMurdo Sound: Drivers and trends. Proceedings of the New Zealand-Australia Antarctic Science Conference (NZAASC): Latitudes of Change. (pp. 84). Retrieved from https://www.nzaasc.org
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Fletcher, D., Dillingham, P. W., & Parry, M. (2023). A simple and robust approach to Bayesian modelling of overdispersed data. Environmental & Ecological Statistics, 30, 289-308. doi: 10.1007/s10651-023-00567-6
Journal - Research Article
Richter, M. E., Leonard, G. H., Smith, I. J., Langhorne, P. J., Mahoney, A. R., & Parry, M. (2022). Accuracy and precision when deriving sea-ice thickness from thermistor strings: A comparison of methods. Journal of Glaciology. Advance online publication. doi: 10.1017/jog.2022.108
Journal - Research Article
Baeumer, B., Kovács, M., & Parry, M. (2022). A higher order resolvent-positive finite difference approximation for fractional derivatives on bounded domains. Fractional Calculus & Applied Analysis, 25, 299-319. doi: 10.1007/s13540-021-00013-z
Journal - Research Article
Binny, R. N., Priest, P., French, N. P., Parry, M., Lustig, A., Hendy, S. C., … Plank, M. J. (2022). Sensitivity of RT-PCR tests for SARS-CoV-2 through time. Journal of Infectious Diseases. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiac317
Journal - Research Article
Ahn, A., Rodger, E. J., Motwani, J., Gimenez, G., Stockwell, P. A., Parry, M., … Chatterjee, A., & Eccles, M. R. (2021). Transcriptional reprogramming and constitutive PD-L1 expression in melanoma are associated with dedifferentiation and activation of interferon and tumour necrosis factor signalling pathways. Cancers, 13, 4250. doi: 10.3390/cancers13174250
Journal - Research Article
Cao, Z., Bryant, D., Molteno, T. C. A., Fox, C., & Parry, M. (2021). V-spline: An adaptive smoothing spline for trajectory reconstruction. Sensors, 21, 3215. doi: 10.3390/s21093215
Journal - Research Article
Craigie, A., McGregor, R., Whitcombe, A. L., Carlton, L., Harte, D., Sutherland, M., Parry, M., … Ussher, J., … Jack, S., & Upton, A. (2021). SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in the southern region of New Zealand, 2020. Pathology, 53(5), 645-651. doi: 10.1016/j.pathol.2021.04.001
Journal - Research Article
Afroz, F., Parry, M., & Fletcher, D. (2020). Estimating overdispersion in sparse multinomial data. Biometrics, 76, 834-842. doi: 10.1111/biom.13194
Journal - Research Article
Anglemyer, A., Moore, T. H. M., Parker, L., Chambers, T., Grady, A., Chiu, K., Parry, M., … Bero, L. (2020). Digital contact tracing technologies in epidemics: A rapid review (Review). Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, 8, CD013699. doi: 10.1002%2F14651858.CD013699
Journal - Research Article
Anglemyer, A., Moore, T. H. M., Parker, L., Chambers, T., Grady, A., Chiu, K., Parry, M., … Bero, L. (2020). Digital contact tracing technologies in epidemics: A rapid review. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, 8, CD013699. doi: 10.1002/14651858.Cd013699
Journal - Research Article
Bender, C. M., Brody, D. C., & Parry, M. F. (2020). Making sense of the divergent series for reconstructing a Hamiltonian from its eigenstates and eigenvalues. American Journal of Physics, 88(2), 148-152. doi: 10.1119/10.0000215
Journal - Research Article
Bowden, S. A., Stockwell, P. A., Rodger, E. J., Parry, M. F., Eccles, M. R., Stayner, C., & Chatterjee, A. (2020). Extensive inter-cyst DNA methylation variation in autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease revealed by genome scale sequencing. Frontiers in Genetics, 11, 348. doi: 10.3389/fgene.2020.00348
Journal - Research Article
Brownlie, T., Bishop, T., Parry, M., Salmon, S. E., & Hunnam, J. C. (2020). Predicting the periodic risk of anthrax in livestock in Victoria, Australia, using meteorological data. International Journal of Biometeorology, 64, 601-610. doi: 10.1007/s00484-019-01849-0
Journal - Research Article
Martin, A., Parry, M., Soundy, A. W. R., Panckhurst, B. J., Brown, P., Molteno, T. C. A., & Schumayer, D. (2020). Improving real-time position estimation using correlated noise models. Sensors, 20, 5913. doi: 10.3390/s20205913
Journal - Research Article
Wilson, N., Schwehm, M., Verrall, A. J., Parry, M., Baker, M. G., & Eichner, M. (2020). Detecting the re-emergent COVID-19 pandemic after elimination: Modelling study of combined primary care and hospital surveillance. New Zealand Medical Journal, 133(1524), 28-39. Retrieved from https://www.nzma.org.nz/journal
Journal - Research Article
Deng, J. D., & Parry, M. (2020). Data Science programmes: Is there an ideal design? Proceedings of the 62nd International Statistics Institute (ISI) World Statistics Congress: Special Topic Session.Vol. 3, (pp. 66-73). Putrajaya, Malaysia: Department of Statistics Malaysia. Retrieved from www.isi2019.org
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Full paper
Anglemyer, A., Parker, L., Chiu, K., Chambers, T., Wilczynska, M., Grady, A., … Parry, M. (2020). Contact tracing technologies in epidemics: A rapid review [CRD42020188946]. PROSPERO. Retrieved from https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero
Working Paper; Discussion Paper; Technical Report
Moffat, S., Fritz, Z., Slowther, A.-M., Parry, M., & Barclay, S. (2019). ‘Do not attempt CPR’ in the community: The experience of ambulance clinicians. Journal of Paramedic Practice, 11(5), 198-204. doi: 10.12968/jpar.2019.11.5.198
Journal - Research Article
Chatterjee, A., Ahn, A., Rodger, E. J., Stockwell, P. A., Parry, M., Motwani, J., … Eccles, M. R. (2019). Global DNA methylation levels regulate PD-L1 expression in melanoma. Cancer Research, 79(13, Suppl.). doi: 10.1158/1538-7445.Am2019-826
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Parry, M. F., & Calvacanti, P. P. (2019). Archetypal analysis as an autoencoder with application to data imputation. Proceedings of the New Zealand Statistical Association Conference. (pp. 34). Retrieved from https://www.otago.ac.nz/nzsa/programme-and-speakers/
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Bender, C. M., Brody, D. C., & Parry, M. F. (2019). Making sense of the divergent series for reconstructing a Hamiltonian from its eigenstates and eigenvalues. arXiv. Retrieved from https://arxiv.org/abs/1906.03017
Working Paper; Discussion Paper; Technical Report
Chatterjee, A., Rodger, E. J., Ahn, A., Stockwell, P. A., Parry, M., Motwani, J., … Eccles, M. R., & Hersey, P. (2018). Marked global DNA hypomethylation is associated with constitutive PD-L1 expression in melanoma. iScience, 4, 312-325. doi: 10.1016/j.isci.2018.05.021
Journal - Research Article
Craig, A. P., Cunniffe, N. J., Parry, M., Laranjeira, F. F., & Gilligan, C. A. (2018). Grower and regulator conflict in management of the citrus disease Huanglongbing in Brazil: A modelling study. Journal of Applied Ecology, 55(4), 1956-1965. doi: 10.1111/1365-2664.13122
Journal - Research Article
Craig, H. J. B., Stachowicz, K., Black, M., Parry, M., Burke, C. R., Meier, S., & Amer, P. R. (2018). Genotype by environment interactions in fertility traits in New Zealand dairy cows. Journal of Dairy Science, 101, 10991-11003. doi: 10.3168/jds.2017-14195
Journal - Research Article
Torres, U., Godsoe, W., Buckley, H. L., Parry, M., Lustig, A., & Worner, S. P. (2018). Using niche conservatism information to prioritize hotspots of invasion by non-native freshwater invertebrates in New Zealand. Diversity & Distributions, 24(12), 1802-1815. doi: 10.1111/ddi.12818
Journal - Research Article
Ahn, A., Rodger, E. J., Stockwell, P. A., Parry, M., Motwani, J., Gallagher, S. J., … Chatterjee, A., & Eccles, M. R. (2018, August). Investigating the role of DNA methylation, gene expression, long non-coding RNA and transposable elements in constitutive PD-L1 expression in melanoma cell lines. Poster session presented at the Queenstown Molecular Biology (QMB) Meetings, Queenstown, New Zealand.
Conference Contribution - Poster Presentation (not in published proceedings)
Chatterjee, A., Rodger, E., Ahn, A., Stockwell, P., Parry, M., Motwani, J., … Eccles, M., & Hersey, P. (2018, August). Striking loss of global DNA methylation levels and constitutive PD-L1 expression in melanoma. Verbal presentation at the Queenstown Molecular Biology (QMB) Meetings, Queenstown, New Zealand.
Conference Contribution - Verbal presentation and other Conference outputs
Cameron, C., Iosua, E., Parry, M., Richards, R., & Jaye, C. (2017). More than just numbers: Challenges for professional statisticians. Statistics Education Research Journal, 16(2), 362-375. Retrieved from http://iase-web.org/Publications.php?p=SERJ
Journal - Research Article
Chatterjee, A., Macaulay, E. C., Ahn, A., Ludgate, J. L., Stockwell, P. A., Weeks, R. J., Parry, M. F., Foster, T. J., … Eccles, M. R., & Morison, I. M. (2017). Comparative assessment of DNA methylation patterns between reduced representation bisulfite sequencing and Sequenom EpiTyper methylation analysis. Epigenomics, 9(6), 823-832. doi: 10.2217/epi-2016-0176
Journal - Research Article
Martin, A. D., Soundy, A. W. R., Panckhurst, B. J., Brown, C. P., Schumayer, D., Molteno, T. C. A., & Parry, M. (2017). Real-time uncertainty quantification using correlated noise models for GNSS positioning. Proceedings of the IEEE Sensors Conference. IEEE. doi: 10.1109/ICSENS.2017.8233899
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Full paper
Eccles, M. R., Chatterjee, A., Rodger, E. J., Ahn, A., Leichter, A., Motwani, J., Stockwell, P., & Parry, M. (2017, September). Epigenetic drivers of melanoma metastasis identified by genome-wide reduced-representation bisulphite sequencing (RRBS) analysis. Poster session presented at the Queenstown Molecular Biology (QMB) Meetings, Queenstown, New Zealand.
Conference Contribution - Poster Presentation (not in published proceedings)
Eccles, M. R., Chatterjee, A., Rodger, E. J., Ahn, A., Leichter, A., Motwani, J., Stockwell, P., & Parry, M. (2017, September). Epigenetic driver of melanoma metastasis identified by genome-wide analysis. Poster session presented at the Queenstown Molecular Biology (QMB) Meetings, Queenstown, New Zealand.
Conference Contribution - Poster Presentation (not in published proceedings)
Eccles, M. R., Chatterjee, A., Rodger, E. J., Ahn, A., Leichter, A., Motwani, J., Stockwell, P., Parry, M., … Gardner, J., … Sarwar, M., … multiple other members of The Maurice Wilkins Centre. (2017, September). Can research involving NZ melanoma patient participation and extensive networking by researchers help reduce the melanoma burden in NZ? Verbal presentation at the Queenstown Molecular Biology (QMB) Meetings, Queenstown, New Zealand.
Conference Contribution - Verbal presentation and other Conference outputs
Parry, M. (2017, July). Scoring rules for probabilistic binary classification. Verbal presentation at the International Statistical Institute (ISI) 61st World Statistics Congress, Marrakech, Morocco.
Conference Contribution - Verbal presentation and other Conference outputs
Chatterjee, A., Macaulay, E. C., Rodger, E. J., Stockwell, P. A., Parry, M. F., Roberts, H. E., Slatter, T. L., Hung, N. A., Devenish, C. J., & Morison, I. M. (2016). Placental hypomethylation is more pronounced in genomic loci devoid of retroelements. Genes Genomes Genetics, 6(7), 1911-1921. doi: 10.1534/g3.116.030379
Journal - Research Article
Chatterjee, A., Stockwell, P. A., Rodger, E. J., Parry, M. F., & Eccles, M. R. (2016). scan_tcga tools for integrated epigenomic and transcriptomic analysis of tumor subgroups. Epigenomics, 8(10), 1315-1330. doi: 10.2217/epi-2016-0063
Journal - Research Article
Hiscott, G., Fox, C., Parry, M., & Bryant, D. (2016). Efficient recycled algorithms for quantitative trait models on phylogenies. Genome Biology & Evolution, 8(5), 1338-1350. doi: 10.1093/gbe/evw064
Journal - Research Article
Parry, M. (2016). Extensive scoring rules. Electronic Journal of Statistics, 10(1), 1098-1108. doi: 10.1214/16-EJS1132
Journal - Research Article
Parry, M. (2016). Linear scoring rules for probabilistic binary classification. Electronic Journal of Statistics, 10(1), 1596-1607. doi: 10.1214/16-EJS1150
Journal - Research Article
Roigé, M., Parry, M., Phillips, C., & Worner, S. (2016). Self-organizing maps for analysing pest profiles: Sensitivity analysis of weights and ranks. Ecological Modelling, 342, 113-122. doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2016.10.003
Journal - Research Article
Whigham, P. A., Dick, G., & Parry, M. (2016). Network rewiring dynamics with convergence towards a star network. Proceedings of the Royal Society A, 472(2194), 20160236. doi: 10.1098/rspa.2016.0236
Journal - Research Article
Patrick, M., Craig, A. P., Cunniffe, N. J., Parry, M., & Gilligan, C. A. (2016). Testing stochastic software using pseudo-oracles. Proceedings of the 25th International Symposium on Software Testing and Analysis (ISSTA). (pp. 235-246). New York, NY: ACM. doi: 10.1145/2931037.2931063
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Full paper
Casey, B., McDonald, J., Matthaei, C., Fletcher, D., Parry, M., Cameron, C., & Dakson, C. (2016). Postgraduate peer statistics advisers: A pilot programme. Proceedings of the Tertiary Education Research in New Zealand (TERNZ) Conference. Retrieved from http://herdsa.org.nz/ternz/2016
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Macaulay, E. C., Chatterjee, A., Rodger, E. J., Stockwell, P. A., Parry, M. F., Roberts, H. E., Slatter, T. L., Hung, N. A., & Morison, I. M. (2016, March). Placental hypomethylation is more pronounced in genomic loci devoid of retroelements. Poster session presented at the Keystone Symposia on Molecular and Cellular Biology: Chromatin and Epigenetics, Whistler, Canada.
Conference Contribution - Poster Presentation (not in published proceedings)
Chatterjee, A., Stockwell, P. A., Rodger, E. J., Duncan, E. J., Parry, M. F., Weeks, R. J., & Morison, I. M. (2015). Genome-wide DNA methylation map of human neutrophils reveals widespread inter-individual epigenetic variation. Scientific Reports, 5, 17328. doi: 10.1038/srep17328
Journal - Research Article
Parry, M., Gibson, G. J., Parnell, S., Gottwald, T. R., Irey, M. S., Gast, T. C., & Gilligan, C. A. (2014). Bayesian inference for an emerging arboreal epidemic in the presence of control. PNAS, 111(17), 6258-6262. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1310997111
Journal - Research Article
Martin, A. D., Molteno, T. C. A., & Parry, M. (2014). Measuring the performance of sensors that report uncertainty. Proceedings of the 21st Electronics New Zealand Conference (ENZCon). (pp. 57-61). University of Waikato, New Zealand: Electronics New Zealand. [Full Paper]
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Full paper
Parry, M. (2014). Local scoring rules and statistical inference in unnormalized models. In J. Rissanen, P. Myllymäki, T. Roos & N. P. Santhanam (Eds.), Proceedings of the Seventh Workshop on Information Theoretic Methods in Science and Engineering [Department of Computer Science: Series of Publications B: Report B-2014-4]. (pp. 13-15). [Full Paper]
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Full paper
Roigé, M., Worner, S., Parry, M., & Phillips, C. (2014). Using pest assemblages to predict invasions: Validation tests for the self-organizing map approach. Proceedings of the New Zealand Ecological Society (NZES) Annual Conference. (pp. 73). Retrieved from http://newzealandecology.org/node/40
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Deaker, L., Harraway, J., Wang, T., Parry, M., Schofield, M., Cox, N., & Davie, G. (2014, August). Where is Statistics heading? What should we be doing to future proof the profession? Invited presentation at the Box Plot II Symposium, Dunedin, New Zealand.
Conference Contribution - Verbal presentation and other Conference outputs
Martin, A. D., Molteno, T. C. A., & Parry, M. (2014). Measuring the performance of sensors that report uncertainty. arXiv. Retrieved from http://arxiv.org/abs/1411.4354v1
Working Paper; Discussion Paper; Technical Report
Parry, M. (2013). Multidimensional local scoring rules. Proceedings of the 59th ISI World Statistics Congress of the International Statistical Institute. (pp. 1453-1458). The Hague, The Netherlands: International Statistical Institute. Retrieved from http://2013.isiproceedings.org/
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Full paper
Parry, M. (2013). Randomization and approximation in MCMC. Proceedings of the Joint New Zealand Statistical Association (NZSA) and Operations Research Society of New Zealand (ORSNZ) Conference: Analytics for a Changing World: From Data to Decisions. (pp. 57). Retrieved from https://secure.orsnz.org.nz/conf47/index.php
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Brody, D. C., Meister, B. K., & Parry, M. F. (2012). Informational inefficiency in financial markets. Mathematics & Financial Economics, 6(3), 249-259. doi: 10.1007/s11579-012-0078-1
Journal - Research Article
Dawid, A. P., Lauritzen, S., & Parry, M. (2012). Proper local scoring rules on discrete sample spaces. Annals of Statistics, 40(1), 593-608. doi: 10.1214/12-AOS972
Journal - Research Article
Parry, M., Dawid, A. P., & Lauritzen, S. (2012). Proper local scoring rules. Annals of Statistics, 40(1), 561-592. doi: 10.1214/12-AOS971
Journal - Research Article
Dawid, A. P., Lauritzen, S., & Parry, M. (2011). Proper local scoring rules on discrete sample spaces. arXiv. Retrieved from http://arxiv.org/abs/1104.2224v1
Working Paper; Discussion Paper; Technical Report
Parry, M., Dawid, A. P., & Lauritzen, S. (2011). Proper local scoring rules. arXiv. Retrieved from http://arxiv.org/abs/1101.5011v1
Working Paper; Discussion Paper; Technical Report
Brody, D. C., Hughston, L. P., & Parry, M. F. (2010). Effects of quantum entanglement in phase transitions. Physics Letters A, 374(24), 2424-2428. doi: 10.1016/j.physleta.2010.03.060
Journal - Research Article
Brody, D. C., Brody, J., Meister, B. K., & Parry, M. F. (2010). Outsider trading. arXiv. Retrieved from http://arxiv.org/abs/1003.0764v2
Working Paper; Discussion Paper; Technical Report
Parry, M. (2006). A rule of thumb for cosmological backreaction. Journal of Cosmology & Astroparticle Physics, 2006, 016. doi: 10.1088/1475-7516/2006/06/016
Journal - Research Article