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Commentary:

As voting opens in another MMP election, contestable seats look set to play a surprisingly important part in the result. Dr Michael Swanson analysed the country’s bellwether seats in this New Zealand Herald piece with Ethan Manera and Katie Bradford:

https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/election-2026-the-10-battleground-electorate-races-to-watch/HK3CQNAIIRHNJLJPHNLJGZTDZA/

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