PhD, DELE(Bas), NAATI 3
Research Fellow; HHRP
Contact details
Tel +64 4 806 1751
Fax +64 4 389 5319
Email lucy.telfar-barnard@otago.ac.nz
Research interests and activities
Lucy's research interests cover seasonal and cold-temperature-related morbidity and mortality; respiratory disease; tenancy law and the regulation of rental housing quality; New Zealand housing construction types, their distribution, classification and associated health outcomes; and novel epidemiological uses of administrative datasets. She is currently measuring New Zealand’s respiratory disease burden, and assessing the effect of mechanized home ventilation systems on health outcomes.
Publications
Summers, J., Cheng, H.-Y., Lin, H.-H., Telfar Barnard, L., Kvalsvig, A., Wilson, N., & Baker, M. G. (2020). Potential lessons from the Taiwan and New Zealand health responses to the COVID-19 pandemic. Lancet Regional Health: Western Pacific. Advance online publication. doi: 10.1016/j.lanwpc.2020.10 0 044
Baker, M. G., Kvalsvig, A., Verrall, A. J., Telfar-Barnard, L., & Wilson, N. (2020). New Zealand's elimination strategy for the COVID-19 pandemic and what is required to make it work. New Zealand Medical Journal, 133(1512), 10-14. Retrieved from https://www.nzma.org.nz/journal
Wilson, N., Kvalsvig, A., Telfar Barnard, L., & Baker, M. G. (2020). Case-fatality risk estimates for COVID-19 calculated by using a lag time for fatality. Emerging Infectious Diseases, 26(6), 1339-1341. doi: 10.3201/eid2606.200320
Kvalsvig, A., Telfar Barnard, L., Gray, L., Wilson, N., & Baker, M. (2020). Supporting the COVID-19 pandemic response: Surveillance and outbreak analytics. Commissioned by Ministry of Health. Wellington, New Zealand: University of Otago. 33p. Retrieved from https://www.health.govt.nz/publication/covid-19-modelling-reports
Wilson, N., Telfar Barnard, L., Kvalsvig, A., & Baker, M. (2020). Potential health impacts from the COVID-19 pandemic for New Zealand if eradication fails: Report to the NZ Ministry of Health. Commissioned by Ministry of Health. Wellington, New Zealand: University of Otago. 22p. Retrieved from https://www.health.govt.nz/publication/covid-19-modelling-reports
Commissioned Report for External Body
Kvalsvig, A., Telfar Barnard, L., Gray, L., Wilson, N., & Baker, M. (2020). Supporting the COVID-19 pandemic response: Surveillance and outbreak analytics. Commissioned by Ministry of Health. Wellington, New Zealand: University of Otago. 33p. Retrieved from https://www.health.govt.nz/publication/covid-19-modelling-reports
Telfar Barnard, L., Wilson, N., Kvalsvig, A., & Baker, M. (2020). Modelled estimates for the spread and health impact of Covid-19 in New Zealand: Revised preliminary report to the NZ Ministry of Health. Commissioned by Ministry of Health. Wellington, New Zealand: University of Otago. 15p. Retrieved from https://www.health.govt.nz/publication/covid-19-modelling-reports
Wilson, N., Telfar Barnard, L., & Baker, M. (2020). Rationale for border control interventions and options to prevent or delay the arrival of Covid-19 in New Zealand: Final commissioned report for the New Zealand Ministry of Health. Commissioned by Ministry of Health. Wellington, New Zealand: University of Otago. 10p. Retrieved from https://www.health.govt.nz/publication/covid-19-modelling-reports
Baker, M., Kvalsvig, A., Telfar Barnard, L., Gray, L., Verrall, A., & Wilson, N. (2020). Potential preventive interventions for the “Stamp it out” and “Manage it” phase of the Covid-19 pandemic in New Zealand. Commissioned by New Zealand Ministry of Health. Wellington, New Zealand: University of Otago. 16p. Retrieved from https://www.health.govt.nz/publication/covid-19-modelling-and-other-commissioned-reports
Wilson, N., Telfar Barnard, L., Kvalsvig, A., & Baker, M. (2020). Potential health impacts from the COVID-19 pandemic for New Zealand if eradication fails: Report to the NZ Ministry of Health. Commissioned by Ministry of Health. Wellington, New Zealand: University of Otago. 22p. Retrieved from https://www.health.govt.nz/publication/covid-19-modelling-reports
Working Paper; Discussion Paper; Technical Report
Wilson, N., Kvalsvig, A., Telfar Barnard, L., & Baker, M. G. (2020). Estimating the case fatality risk of COVID-19 using cases from outside China. medRxiv. doi: 10.1101/2020.02.15.20023499
Other Research Output
Telfar-Barnard, L. (2018, August). The rental housing 'warrant of fitness': From evidence to policy. Department of Public Health, University of Otago, Wellington, New Zealand. [Research Seminar].
Chapter in Book - Research
Howden-Chapman, P., Chisholm, E., Telfar Barnard, L., Viggers, H., O'Sullivan, K., Bennett, J., Bierre, S., Preval, N., Randal, E., Tiatia, R., Ombler, J., Amore, K., Rivera-Muñoz, G., … Davies, C., Aspinall, C., Oliver, J., Baker, M., Keall, M., … Crane, J., & Pierse, N. (2017). Housing, energy and health in resilient cities. In P. Howden-Chapman, L. Early & J. Ombler (Eds.), Cities in New Zealand: Preferences, patterns and possibilities. (pp. 95-106). Wellington, New Zealand: Steele Roberts Aotearoa.
Hajat, S., & Telfar Barnard, L. (2016). Heat-related and cold-related mortality and morbidity. In Climate change and global health. (Revised reprint ed.) (pp. 21-37). Wallingford, UK: CABI International.
Hajat, S., & Barnard, L. T. (2013). Cold-related mortality and morbidity. In J. Adegoke & C. Y. Wright (Eds.), Climate vulnerability: Vulnerability of human health to climate (Vol. 1). (pp. 157-164). Amsterdam, The Netherlands: Academic Press. doi: 10.1016/B978-0-12-384703-4.00121-0
Chapter in Book - Other
Hajat, S., & Telfar Barnard, L. (2014). Heat-related and cold-related mortality and morbidity. In C. D. Butler (Ed.), Climate change and global health. (pp. 21-37). Abingdon, UK: CABI International.
Journal - Research Article
Chisholm, E., Keall, M., Bennett, J., Marshall, A., Telfar-Barnard, L., Thornley, L., & Howden-Chapman, P. (2019). Why don't owners improve their homes? Results from a survey following a housing warrant-of-fitness assessment for health and safety. Australian & New Zealand Journal of Public Health, 43(3), 221-227. doi: 10.1111/1753-6405.12895
Telfar-Barnard, L., Bennett, J., Robinson, A., Hailes, A., Ombler, J., & Howden-Chapman, P. (2019). Evidence base for a housing warrant of fitness. SAGE Open Medicine, 7. doi: 10.1177/2050312119843028
Preval, N., Keall, M., Telfar-Barnard, L., Grimes, A., & Howden-Chapman, P. (2017). Impact of improved insulation and heating on mortality risk of older cohort members with prior cardiovascular or respiratory hospitalisations. BMJ Open, 7(11), e018079. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2017-018079
Khieu, T. Q. T., Pierse, N., Telfar-Barnard, L. F., Zhang, J., Huang, Q. S., & Baker, M. G. (2017). Modelled seasonal influenza mortality shows marked differences in risk by age, sex, ethnicity and socioeconomic position in New Zealand. Journal of Infection, 75(3), 225-233. doi: 10.1016/j.jinf.2017.05.017
Telfar-Barnard, L., Bennett, J., Howden-Chapman, P., Jacobs, D. E., Ormandy, D., Cutler-Welsh, M., Preval, N., Baker, M. G., & Keall, M. (2017). Measuring the effect of housing quality interventions: The case of the New Zealand "Rental Warrant of Fitness". International Journal of Environmental Research & Public Health, 14(11), 1352. doi: 10.3390/ijerph14111352
O'Sullivan, K., Telfar Barnard, L., Viggers, H., & Howden-Chapman, P. (2016). Child and youth fuel poverty: Assessing the known and unknown. People, Place & Policy, 10(1), 77-87. doi: 10.3351/ppp.0010.0001.0006
Grimes, A., Preval, N., Young, C., Arnold, R., Denne, T., Howden-Chapman, P., & Telfar Barnard, L. (2016). Does retrofitted insulation reduce household energy use? Theory and practice. Energy Journal, 37(4), 165-186. doi: 10.5547/01956574.37.4.agri
Khieu, T. Q. T., Pierse, N., Telfar-Barnard, L. F., Huang, Q. S., & Baker, M. G. (2015). Estimating the contribution of influenza to hospitalisations in New Zealand from 1994 to 2008. Vaccine, 33(33), 4087-4092. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2015.06.080
Telfar Barnard, L. F., Baker, M. G., Hales, S., & Howden-Chapman, P. (2015). Novel use of three administrative datasets to establish a cohort for environmental health research. BMC Public Health, 15, 246. doi: 10.1186/s12889-015-1580-1
Pearson, A. L., Telfar Barnard, L., Pearce, J., Kingham, S., & Howden-Chapman, P. (2014). Housing quality and resilience in New Zealand. Building Research & Information, 42(2), 182-190. doi: 10.1080/09613218.2014.850603
Howden-Chapman, P., Viggers, H., Chapman, R., O'Sullivan, K., Telfar Barnard, L., & Lloyd, B. (2012). Tackling cold housing and fuel poverty in New Zealand: A review of policies, research, and health impacts. Energy Policy, 49, 134-142. doi: 10.1016/j.enpol.2011.09.044
Baker, M. G., Telfar Barnard, L., Kvalsvig, A., Verrall, A., Zhang, J., Keall, M., Wilson, N., … Howden-Chapman, P. (2012). Increasing incidence of serious infectious diseases and inequalities in New Zealand: A national epidemiological study. Lancet, 379(9821), 1112-1119. doi: 10.1016/s0140-6736(11)61780-7
Wilson, N., Telfar Barnard, L., Summers, J. A., Shanks, G. D., & Baker, M. G. (2012). Differential mortality rates by ethnicity in 3 influenza pandemics over a century, New Zealand. Emerging Infectious Diseases, 18(1), 71-77. doi: 10.3201/eid1801.110035
Telfar Barnard, L. F., Baker, M. G., Hales, S., & Howden-Chapman, P. L. (2008). Excess winter morbidity and mortality: Do housing and socio-economic status have an effect? Reviews on Environmental Health, 23(3), 203-221.
Journal - Research Other
Summers, J., Cheng, H.-Y., Lin, H.-H., Telfar Barnard, L., Kvalsvig, A., Wilson, N., & Baker, M. G. (2020). Potential lessons from the Taiwan and New Zealand health responses to the COVID-19 pandemic. Lancet Regional Health: Western Pacific. Advance online publication. doi: 10.1016/j.lanwpc.2020.10 0 044
Baker, M. G., Kvalsvig, A., Verrall, A. J., Telfar-Barnard, L., & Wilson, N. (2020). New Zealand's elimination strategy for the COVID-19 pandemic and what is required to make it work. New Zealand Medical Journal, 133(1512), 10-14. Retrieved from https://www.nzma.org.nz/journal
Wilson, N., Kvalsvig, A., Telfar Barnard, L., & Baker, M. G. (2020). Case-fatality risk estimates for COVID-19 calculated by using a lag time for fatality. Emerging Infectious Diseases, 26(6), 1339-1341. doi: 10.3201/eid2606.200320
Donovan, S., & Telfar-Barnard, L. (2019). Age of first menstruation in New Zealand: Findings from first ever national-level data and implications for age-appropriate education and support. New Zealand Medical Journal, 132(1500), 100-102. Retrieved from https://www.nzma.org.nz/journal
Telfar-Barnard, L., & Bennett, J. (2016). The case for minimum rental housing standards. The Lens, 2(1), 5.
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Telfar Barnard, L., & Bennett, J. (2018). Housing quality, home safety, rental housing, environmental health, housing assessment. Proceedings of the 8th International Conference on Energy and Environment of Residential Buildings (ICEERB): Housing Sustainability in Urban Areas. (pp. 27). Retrieved from https://www.otago.ac.nz/iceerb-2018
Cook, H., & Telfar-Barnard, L. (2014). Café culture and the normalisation of high noise levels. Proceedings of the New Zealand Population Health Congress: Connecting Communities, Policy and Science. (pp. 236). Retrieved from http://www.pophealthcongress.org.nz/nzphc14/programme/programme
Preval, N., Howden-Chapman, P., Grimes, A., Young, C., Denne, T., Telfar-Barnard, L., & Arnold, R. (2014). Evaluation of warm up New Zealand: Heat smart. Proceedings of the Otago Energy Research Centre (OERC) Symposium. (pp. 18). Retrieved from http://www.otago.ac.nz/oerc/
Khieu, T., Zhang, J., Pierse, N., Telfar Barnard, L., & Baker, M. (2014). Estimating the contribution of influenza to hospitalisations in New Zealand. Proceedings of the New Zealand Population Health Congress: Connecting Communities, Policy and Science. (pp. 179). Retrieved from http://www.pophealthcongress.org.nz/nzphc14/programme/programme
Telfar Barnard, L., Baker, M., Hales, S., & Howden-Chapman, P. (2014). New Zealand excess winter hospitalisation: An opportunity for disease prevention? Proceedings of the New Zealand Population Health Congress: Connecting Communities, Policy and Science. (pp. 311). Retrieved from http://www.pophealthcongress.org.nz/nzphc14/programme/programme
Wilson, N., Telfar Barnard, L., Summers, J., Shanks, D., & Baker, M. (2011). Relatively high mortality for Maori and Pacific peoples in the 2009 influenza pandemic and comparisons with previous pandemics. Journal of Epidemiology & Community Health, 65(Suppl. 1), (pp. A356). doi: 10.1136/jech.2011.142976m.16
Telfar Barnard, L., Baker, M., Hales, S., & Howden-Chapman, P. (2011). Death and hospitalisation have different seasonality. Journal of Epidemiology & Community Health, 65(Suppl. 1), (pp. A465). doi: 10.1136/jech.2011.142976q.11
Mann, S., Baker, M., Hales, S., Kamalesh, V., Telfar Barnard, L., Zhang, J., & Howden-Chapman, P. (2009). Cardiovascular mortality and morbidity in New Zealand is higher in winter in all disease subcategories. Heart, Lung & Circulation, 18(Suppl. 3), (pp. S256). doi: 10.1016/j.hlc.2009.05.631
Mann, S., Baker, M., Hales, S., Kamalesh, V., Telfar Barnard, L., Zhang, J., & Howden-Chapman, P. (2009). Excess winter cardiovascular mortality and morbidity in New Zealand is seen in all disease subcategories. Heart, Lung & Circulation, 18(Suppl. 2), (pp. S21-S22). doi: 10.1016/j.hlc.2009.04.050
Conference Contribution - Poster Presentation (not in published proceedings)
Telfar Barnard, L. (2009, September). New Zealand excess winter hospitalisation: Do some houses provide less protection than others? Poster session presented at the Third Annual Division of Health Sciences Research Forum, Wellington, New Zealand.
