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(PhD (Massey University, Dean's List of Exceptional Doctoral Theses);
MSc (graduated 1 year ahead of schedule), BSc (Beijing Normal University))Ting Wang image (2023)

Office: Science III, room 518
Tel +64 3 479 7773


I completed my BSc and MSc in Mathematical Statistics at Beijing Normal University. During my Master's study, I worked for a seismologist on a summer project to statistically distinguish earthquake signals from background noise in groundwater level data. I was fascinated by the fact that I could apply my statistical skills to solve a real-world problem, which led me to further my studies in New Zealand. After completing my PhD in Statistics and working as a postdoc at Massey University, I joined the University of Otago as a Lecturer in Statistics in 2012. My research field is multidisciplinary centering on the interface of statistics and geophysics. My main focus has been on the development of novel statistical models and their application to real-world problems in geosciences.

Professional Positions:

  • 2021- Associate Professor, University of Otago
  • 2017-2020 Senior Lecturer, University of Otago
  • 2012-2016 Lecturer, University of Otago
  • 2012.7-2012.11 Visiting Research Fellow, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo
  • 2010-2011 Postdoctoral Fellow, Volcanic Risk Solutions, Massey University

Teaching responsibilities

My teaching responsibilities include:

Research Interests

My research interests span across statistical theories and applications, including:

  • Point process theory
  • Stochastic models, especially in geophysics
  • Hidden Markov models and their applications
  • Survival analysis

My main application areas include modelling earthquakes, slow slip events, geodetic measurements, volcanic eruptions, and more recently geomagnetic storms.

Research Grants

  • 2024-2027 Principal Investigator, Marsden Fund "Modelling the domino effect in complex systems", $712K. (co-Principal Investigator: Boris Baeumer; Associate Investigator: Mark Bebbington)
  • 2022-2025 Principal Investigator, Science Leader, MBIE Smart Ideas, “Forecasting future megaquakes on New Zealand's biggest fault: The Hikurangi subduction zone”, $1M.
  • 2020-2025 Research Aim leader and Key Researcher, MBIE Endeavour Research Program, “Solar Tsunamis: Space-Weather Prediction and Risk Mitigation for New Zealand's Energy Infrastructure", $15M (Leader: Craig Rodger).
  • 2019-2024 Research Aim leader and Key Researcher, MBIE Endeavor Research Programme, “Transitioning Taranaki to a Volcanic Future”, $13M (Leaders: Shane Cronin, University of Auckland; Garry McDonald, Market Economics Ltd.).
  • 2015-2018 Principal Investigator, Marsden Fund Fast-Start "Developing inversion methods for non-stationary thinning of point processes", $300K.
  • 2015-2017 Associate Investigator, Natural Hazards Research Platform contestable grant, “First steps to a national volcano hazard model: Estimation of time varying hazard from New Zealand volcanoes through expert elicitation and Bayesian analogues”, $289K (Principal investigator: Mark Bebbington, Massey University).


  • 2022  Littlejohn Research Award, NZ Statistical Association's premier research award
  • 2017 University of Otago Early Career Award for Distinction in Research
  • 2013 Worsley Early Career Research Award from the New Zealand Statistical Association

Postgraduate students

PhD Students



  • Yiming Ma (Co-supervisor: Fabien Montiel)
  • Jonathan Griffin (Department of Geology) (Primary supervisor: Mark Stirling, Co-supervisor: Matt Gerstenberger)
  • Amina Shahzadi (Co-supervisors: Matthew Parry, Mark Bebbington)
  • Henry Ndukwe (School of Pharmacy) (Primary supervisor: Prasad Nishtala, Co-supervisors: June Tordoff)
  • Emily Kawabata (Massey University) (Primary supervisor: Mark Bebbington, Co-supervisors: Shane Cronin, Gill Jolly)

MSc Students

Honours and PGDipSci students

  • Alex Hazelton, 2023 (Co-supervisor: Xun Xiao)
  • Jessica Allen, 2021
  • Joel Carman, 2021
  • Willie Huang, 2018
  • Jie Kang, 2017
  • Qing Ruan, 2017 (Primary supervisor: Tilman Davies)
  • Jodie Buckby, 2016
  • Yunan Wang, 2015


Wang, T., Griffin, J. D., Brenna, M., Fletcher, D., Zeng, J., Stirling, M., Dillingham, P. W., & Kang, J. (2024). Earthquake forecasting from paleoseismic records. Nature Communications, 15, 1944. doi: 10.1038/s41467-024-46258-z Journal - Research Article

Allen, J., & Wang, T. (2024). Hidden Markov models for low-frequency earthquake recurrence. American Statistician, 78(1), 100-110. doi: 10.1080/00031305.2023.2282631 Journal - Research Article

Wang, T., Bebbington, M., Cronin, S., & Carman, J. (2022). Forecasting eruptions at poorly known volcanoes using analogs and multivariate renewal processes. Geophysical Research Letters, 49, e2021GL096715. doi: 10.1029/2021GL096715 Journal - Research Article

Wang, T., Schofield, M., Bebbington, M., & Kiyosugi, K. (2020). Bayesian modelling of marked point processes with incomplete records: Volcanic eruptions. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C, 69(1), 109-130. doi: 10.1111/rssc.12380 Journal - Research Article

Buckby, J., Wang, T., Zhuang, J., & Obara, K. (2020). Model checking for hidden Markov models. Journal of Computational & Graphical Statistics, 29(4), 859-874. doi: 10.1080/10618600.2020.1743295 Journal - Research Article

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