Mark is a seismologist with a multidisciplinary background in geology and seismology. He specialises in the integration of geological, seismological and geodetic datasets for seismotectonic and seismic hazard modelling. He moved to his present position at Otago in February 2016, and prior to that was a Principal Scientist at GNS Science. He has led the development of the last three versions of the national seismic hazard model for New Zealand (1998, 2002 and 2012), which is the hazard basis for the New Zealand Loadings Standard. He has worked extensively in industry-funded projects in the building construction, hydroelectric power, nuclear, and development aid sectors, and is widely recognised for his pioneering collaborative work with US colleagues on the use of historical and geological observations to validate seismic hazard models. He currently contributes to the development of national seismic and volcanic hazard models in New Zealand, applying the unifying principles of hazard modelling to these disparate perils. He has been the recipient of two Otto Glogau Awards from the New Zealand Society of Earthquake Engineering for his publications, was Society President for the period 2004-2006, and was made a Fellow of the Society in 2007. He is currently an Associate Editor for the Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, and has served on oversight committees for the Global Earthquake Model (GEM) Foundation over the period 2009-12.
Asrid Vetrhus COP (MSc) – Earthquake-generated landslides in the Southern Alps
Publications
Wang, T., Griffin, J. D., Brenna, M., Fletcher, D., Zeng, J., Stirling, M., Dillingham, P. W., & Kang, J. (2024). Earthquake forecasting from paleoseismic records. Nature Communications, 15, 1944. doi: 10.1038/s41467-024-46258-z
Journal - Research Article
van den Berg, E. J., Williams, J. N., Stirling, M. W., Barrell, D. J. A., Griffin, J. D., Litchfield, N. J., & Wang, N. (2024). Late Quaternary activity of the NW Cardrona Fault, Otago, New Zealand. New Zealand Journal of Geology & Geophysics. Advance online publication. doi: 10.1080/00288306.2023.2297962
Journal - Research Article
Stirling, M. W., & Pratt, T. L. (2023). Analyses of fragile geologic features in central New England, U.S.A. Proceedings of the American Geophysical Union (AGU) Fall Meeting: Wide. Open. Science. S04-05. Retrieved from https://www.agu.org
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Pratt, T. L., McPhillips, D., Stirling, M. W., Figueiredo, P. M., & Lindberg, N. (2023). Using seismometers to constrain responses of precariously balanced rocks to input perturbations. Proceedings of the American Geophysical Union (AGU) Fall Meeting: Wide. Open. Science. S43I-0439. Retrieved from https://www.agu.org
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Niroula, G. P., Stirling, M. W., Williams, J., & Gerstenberger, M. (2023). Testing and evaluation of earthquake rupture simulation for New Zealand. Proceedings of the American Geophysical Union (AGU) Fall Meeting: Wide. Open. Science. S33D-0442. Retrieved from https://www.agu.org
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Williams, J., Stirling, M. W., Barrell, D. J. A., Eberhart-Phillips, D., & Bourguignon, S. (2023). Active faulting and seismicity in low strain rate regions: New perspectives from the southern South Island. In G. E. Frontin-Rollett & S. D. Nodder (Eds.), Geoscience Society of New Zealand Miscellaneous Publication.164A, (pp. 271). Wellington, New Zealand: Geoscience Society of New Zealand. [Abstract]
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Williams, J., Stirling, M., Barrell, D., Niroula, G., & Wavelet, E. (2023). A revised record of late Quaternary activity on the Settlement Fault, Otago, New Zealand. In G. E. Frontin-Rollett & S. D. Nodder (Eds.), Geoscience Society of New Zealand Miscellaneous Publication.164A, (pp. 270). Wellington, New Zealand: Geoscience Society of New Zealand. [Abstract]
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Vause, A., Stirling, M., Williams, J., Wilcken, K., & Griffin, J. (2023). Faulted terraces and recurrence behaviour of the Pisa Fault. In G. E. Frontin-Rollett & S. D. Nodder (Eds.), Geoscience Society of New Zealand Miscellaneous Publication.164A, (pp. 255). Wellington, New Zealand: Geoscience Society of New Zealand. [Abstract]
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Niroula, G. P., Stirling, M. W., Williams, J., & Gerstenberger, M. (2023). Testing and evaluation of earthquake rupture simulation for New Zealand. In G. E. Frontin-Rollett & S. D. Nodder (Eds.), Geoscience Society of New Zealand Miscellaneous Publication.164A, (pp. 175). Wellington, New Zealand: Geoscience Society of New Zealand. [Abstract]
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Martin, H. E., Eccles, J. D., Muirhead, J. D., & Stirling, M. W. (2023). Characterization of post-Pliocene dynamics of the Mangatangi Fault, South Auckland. In G. E. Frontin-Rollett & S. D. Nodder (Eds.), Geoscience Society of New Zealand Miscellaneous Publication.164A, (pp. 153). Wellington, New Zealand: Geoscience Society of New Zealand. [Abstract]
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Chanony, S., Fry, B., Stirling, M., & Gorman, A. (2023). Radiated energy estimations for New Zealand earthquakes. In G. E. Frontin-Rollett & S. D. Nodder (Eds.), Geoscience Society of New Zealand Miscellaneous Publication.164A, (pp. 43). Wellington, New Zealand: Geoscience Society of New Zealand. [Abstract]
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Seeback, H., Van Dissen, R., Litchfield, N., Barnes, P. M., Nicol, A., Langridge, R., … Stirling, M., … Lee, J. (2023). The New Zealand Community Fault Model, version 1.0: An improved geological foundation for seismic hazard modelling. New Zealand Journal of Geology & Geophysics. Advance online publication. doi: 10.1080/00288306.2023.2181362
Journal - Research Article
Gerstenberger, M. C., Rhoades, D. A., Litchfield, N., Abbott, E., Goded, T., Christophersen, A., … Stirling, M. W., … Wallace, L. (2023). A time-dependent seismic hazard model following the Kaikōura M7.8 earthquake. New Zealand Journal of Geology & Geophysics. Advance online publication. doi: 10.1080/00288306.2022.2158881
Journal - Research Article
Barrell, D. J. A., Stirling, M. W., Williams, J. N., Sauer, K. M., & van den Berg, E. J. (2023). Hundalee Fault, North Canterbury, New Zealand: Late Quaternary activity and regional tectonics. New Zealand Journal of Geology & Geophysics, 66(2), 293-316. doi: 10.1080/00288306.2022.2153877
Journal - Research Article
Williams, J., Stirling, M., Niroula, G., Vause, A., Stewart, J., Nicol, A., & Langridge, R. (2022). Along-strike extent of ruptures on geometrically complex reverse faults: Insights from paleoseismic investigations and physics-based earthquake simulations of the Nevis-Cardrona Fault system. In A. V. Zernack & J. Palmer (Eds.), Geoscience Society of New Zealand Miscellaneous Publication.161A, (pp. 307). Wellington, New Zealand: Geoscience Society of New Zealand. [Abstract]
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Stirling, M., Williams, J., & Griffin, J. (2022). Earthquake source characterisation in southern New Zealand: An update. In A. V. Zernack & J. Palmer (Eds.), Geoscience Society of New Zealand Miscellaneous Publication.161A, (pp. 259). Wellington, New Zealand: Geoscience Society of New Zealand. [Abstract]
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Fry, B., Nicol, A., Kaiser, A., Liao, M., Power, W., Horspool, N., … Stirling, M., … and the RCET and RNC EQ/Tsu teams. (2022). Physics to resilience: Next generation earthquake and tsunami response. In A. V. Zernack & J. Palmer (Eds.), Geoscience Society of New Zealand Miscellaneous Publication.161A, (pp. 88). Wellington, New Zealand: Geoscience Society of New Zealand. [Abstract]
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Eberhart-Phillips, D., & Stirling, M. W. (2022). The influence of basement terranes on tectonic deformation: Joint earthquake travel-time and ambient noise tomography of the southern. In A. V. Zernack & J. Palmer (Eds.), Geoscience Society of New Zealand Miscellaneous Publication.161A, (pp. 80). Wellington, New Zealand: Geoscience Society of New Zealand. [Abstract]
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Griffin, J. D., Stirling, M. W., Wilcken, K. M., & Barrell, D. J. A. (2022). Late Quaternary slip rates for the Hyde and Dunstan Faults, Southern New Zealand: Implications for strain migration in a slowly deforming continental plate margin. Tectonics, 41(9), e2022TC007250. doi: 10.1029/2022TC007250
Journal - Research Article
Griffin, J. D., Stirling, M. W., Barrell, D. J. A., van den Berg, E. J., Todd, E. K., Nicolls, R., & Wang, N. (2022). Paleoseismology of the Hyde Fault, Otago, New Zealand. New Zealand Journal of Geology & Geophysics, 65(4), 613-637. doi: 10.1080/00288306.2021.1995007
Journal - Research Article
Nicol, A., Howell, A., Van Dissen, R., Gerstenberger, M., Chamberain, C., Shaw, B., … Stirling, M. (2021). What do large earthquakes look like in New Zealand how should they be incorporated into our national seismic hazard model? In A. V. Zernack & J. Palmer (Eds.), Geoscience Society of New Zealand Miscellaneous Publication.158, (pp. 334). Wellington, New Zealand: Geoscience Society of New Zealand. [Abstract]
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Gerstenberger, M., Bradley, B., Kaiser, A., Nicol, A., Stirling, M., Thingbaijam, K., … and the NSHM Team. (2021). An update on the 2022 NSHM revision project. In A. V. Zernack & J. Palmer (Eds.), Geoscience Society of New Zealand Miscellaneous Publication.158, (pp. 332). Wellington, New Zealand: Geoscience Society of New Zealand. [Abstract]
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Meyer, F., Stirling, M., Griffin, J., & Wang, N. (2021). A paleoseismic investigation of the Long Valley Fault, central Otago. In A. V. Zernack & J. Palmer (Eds.), Geoscience Society of New Zealand Miscellaneous Publication.158, (pp. 181). Wellington, New Zealand: Geoscience Society of New Zealand. [Abstract]
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Griffin, J. D., Stirling, M. W., Wilcken, K., Barrell, D. J. A., & Simon, K. (2021). Slip rates for the Hyde and Dunstan Faults, southern New Zealand, revealed by cosmogenic radionuclide dating. In A. V. Zernack & J. Palmer (Eds.), Geoscience Society of New Zealand Miscellaneous Publication.158, (pp. 96). Wellington, New Zealand: Geoscience Society of New Zealand. [Abstract]
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Fry, B., Nicol, A., Kaiser, A., Gusman, A., Power, W., McCurrach, S. J., … Stirling, M., … Smith, R. (2021). Physics to resilience: Next generation earthquake and tsunami response. In A. V. Zernack & J. Palmer (Eds.), Geoscience Society of New Zealand Miscellaneous Publication.158, (pp. 83). Wellington, New Zealand: Geoscience Society of New Zealand. [Abstract]
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Stirling, M. W., Abbott, E. R., Rood, D. H., McVerry, G. H., Abrahamson, N. A., Barrell, D. J. A., … Zondervan, A. (2021). First use of fragile geologic features to set the design motions for a major engineered structure. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 11(5), 2673-2695. doi: 10.1785/0120210026
Journal - Research Article
Stirling, M. W., Oskin, M. E., Arrowsmith, J. R., Rood, A. H., Goulet, C. A., Ludwig, L. G., … Wittich, C. E. (2021). Evaluation of seismic hazard models with fragile geologic features. Seismological Research Letters, 92(1), 314-324. doi: 10.1785/0220200197
Journal - Research Article
Griffin, J. D., Stirling, M. W., & Wang, T. (2020). Periodicity and clustering in the long-term earthquake record. Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2020GL089272. doi: 10.1029/2020GL089272
Journal - Research Article
Griffin, J., Stirling, M., & Wang, T. (2020). Do large earthquakes recur regularly, randomly or clustered together in New Zealand? In K. N. Bassett, A. R. L. Nichols & C. H. Fenton (Eds.), Geoscience Society of New Zealand Miscellaneous Publication.157A, (pp. 119). Wellington, New Zealand: Geoscience Society of New Zealand. [Abstract]
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Kowal, A., Stirling, M., Wotherspoon, L., & Jeong, S. (2020). Ground motion simulations for Dunedin-Mosgiel area. In K. N. Bassett, A. R. L. Nichols & C. H. Fenton (Eds.), Geoscience Society of New Zealand Miscellaneous Publication.157A, (pp. 160). Wellington, New Zealand: Geoscience Society of New Zealand. [Abstract]
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Stirling, M. (2020). Clyde Dam, Otago: 40 years of hazard science. In K. N. Bassett, A. R. L. Nichols & C. H. Fenton (Eds.), Geoscience Society of New Zealand Miscellaneous Publication.157A, (pp. 275). Wellington, New Zealand: Geoscience Society of New Zealand. [Abstract]
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Morell, K. D., Styron, R., Stirling, M., Griffin, J., Archuleta, R., & Onur, T. (2020). Seismic hazard analyses from geologic and geomorphic data: Current and future challenges [Commissioned manuscript]. Tectonics, 39, e2018TC005365. doi: 10.1029/2018TC005365
Journal - Research Article
Rood, A. H., Rood, D. H., Stirling, M. W., Madugo, C. M., Abrahamson, N. A., Wilcken, K. M., … Stafford, P. J. (2020). Earthquake hazard uncertainties improved using precariously balanced rocks. AGU Advances, 1(4), e2020AV000182. doi: 10.1029/2020av000182
Journal - Research Article
Todd, E. K., Stirling, M. W., Fry, B., Salichon, J., & Villamor, P. (2020). Characterising microseismicity in a low seismicity region: Applications of short-term broadband seismic arrays in Dunedin, New Zealand. New Zealand Journal of Geology & Geophysics, 63(3), 331-341. doi: 10.1080/00288306.2019.1707238
Journal - Research Article
Taylor-Silva, B. I., Stirling, M. W., Litchfield, N. J., Griffin, J. D., van den Berg, E. J., & Wang, N. (2020). Paleoseismology of the Akatore Fault, Otago, New Zealand. New Zealand Journal of Geology & Geophysics, 63(2), 151-167. doi: 10.1080/00288306.2019.1645706
Journal - Research Article
Stirling, M. (2019, May). Seismic hazard modelling in New Zealand: Addressing the complexities. Verbal presentation at the Survey & Spatial New Zealand (S+SNZ) Annual Conference: Shaping Tomorrow's Communities, Auckland, New Zealand.
Conference Contribution - Verbal presentation and other Conference outputs
Kowal, A., Stirling, M., Gorman, A., & Wotherspoon, L. (2019). Strong ground motions simulations for Dunedin: Recent progress. Proceedings of the 4th Te Hiranga Rū QuakeCoRE Annual Meeting. (pp. 23). Retrieved from http://www.quakecore.nz
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Goded, T., Gerstenberger, M., Stirling, M., Cousins, J., & Canessa, S. (2019). High-intensity assignments for the 22 February 2011 Mw 6.2 Christchurch, Canterbury, New Zealand, earthquake: A contribution toward understanding the severe damage caused by this event. Seismological Research Letters, 90(4), 1468-1482. doi: 10.1785/0220180385
Journal - Research Article
Villamor, P., Barrell, D. J. A., Gorman, A., Davy, B. W., Hreinsdottir, S., Hamling, I. J., Stirling, M. W., … Holt, A., Todd, E., Denys, P., Pearson, C., Sangster, C., … Ohneiser, C., Lepine, P., & Caratori-Tontini, F. (2018). Unknown faults under cities (GNS Science miscellaneous series 124). Lower Hutt, New Zealand: GNS Science. 71p. doi: 10.21420/G2PW7X
Working Paper; Discussion Paper; Technical Report
Villamor, P., Barrell, D., Gorman, A., Davy, B., Fry, B., Hreinsdottir, S., … Stirling, M., … Holt, A., Todd, E., Denys, P., Pearson, C., Sangster, C., … Ohneiser, C., Lepine, P., & Caratori-Tontini, F. (2018). Are there hidden active faults under Dunedin City? In M. Sagar & J. Prebble (Eds.), Geoscience Society of New Zealand Miscellaneous Publication.151A, (pp. 281). Wellington, New Zealand: GSNZ. [Abstract]
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Van Dissen, R., Stahl, T., King, A., Pettinga, J., Fenton, C., Little, T., … Stirling, M., … Villamor, P. (2018). Impacts of surface fault rupture on residential structures during the 2016 MW 7.8 Kaikōura Earthquake, New Zealand. In M. Sagar & J. Prebble (Eds.), Geoscience Society of New Zealand Miscellaneous Publication.151A, (pp. 278). Wellington, New Zealand: GSNZ. [Abstract]
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Todd, E., Stirling, M., Fry, B., & Villamor, P. (2018). Characterising seismicity in a low-seismicity region around Dunedin, New Zealand. In M. Sagar & J. Prebble (Eds.), Geoscience Society of New Zealand Miscellaneous Publication.151A, (pp. 268). Wellington, New Zealand: GSNZ. [Abstract]
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Nicol, A., Khajavi, N., Kearse, J., Van Dissen, R., Stirling, M., & Gerstenberger, M. (2018). How important are multi-fault ruptures in New Zealand earthquakes? In M. Sagar & J. Prebble (Eds.), Geoscience Society of New Zealand Miscellaneous Publication.151A, (pp. 199). Wellington, New Zealand: GSNZ. [Abstract]
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Langridge, R., Van Dissen, R., Nicol, A., Pettinga, J., Stirling, M., Barrell, D., … Williams, J., … Brough, T. (2018). Paleoseismicity of 2016 MW 7.8 Kaikōura Earthquake faults: Was this event the norm or one "out of the park"? In M. Sagar & J. Prebble (Eds.), Geoscience Society of New Zealand Miscellaneous Publication.151A, (pp. 160). Wellington, New Zealand: GSNZ. [Abstract]
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Barrell, D., Stirling, M., Williams, J., Sauer, K., & van den Berg, E. (2018). Kaikōura Earthquake: Hundalee Fault paleoseismology. In M. Sagar & J. Prebble (Eds.), Geoscience Society of New Zealand Miscellaneous Publication.151A, (pp. 19). Wellington, New Zealand: GSNZ. [Abstract]
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Sangster, C., Gorman, A., Stirling, M., & Wotherspoon, L. (2018, September). Getting ready to rock Dunedin: 3D velocity model for Dunedin ground motion simulations. Poster session presented at the 3rd QuakeCoRE Annual Meeting, Taupō, New Zealand.
Conference Contribution - Poster Presentation (not in published proceedings)
Kowal, A., Stirling, M., Sangster, C., & Gorman, A. (2018, September). Strong ground motions simulations for Dunedin: First step using the SCEC Broadband Simulation Platform. Poster session presented at the 3rd QuakeCoRE Annual Meeting, Taupō, New Zealand.
Conference Contribution - Poster Presentation (not in published proceedings)
Goded, T., Lewis, A., & Stirling, M. (2018). Seismic vulnerability scenarios of unreinforced masonry churches in New Zealand. Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering, 16(9), 3957-3999. doi: 10.1007/s10518-018-0351-7
Journal - Research Article
Williams, J., Barrell, D. J. A., Stirling, M. W., Sauer, K. M., Duke, G. C., & Hao, K. X. (2018). Surface rupture of the Hundalee Fault during the 2016 Mw 7.8 Kaikōura earthquake. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 108(3B), 1540-1555. doi: 10.1785/0120170291
Journal - Research Article
Litchfield, N. J., Villamor, P., Van Dissen, R. J., Nicol, A., Barnes, P. M., Barrell, D. J. A., … Stirling, M. W., … Sauer, K., … Toy, V., Williams, J., … Zinke, R. (2018). Surface rupture of multiple crustal faults in the 2016 Mw 7.8 Kaikōura, New Zealand, earthquake. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 108(3B), 1496-1520. doi: 10.1785/0120170300
Journal - Research Article
Stirling, M. W., & Anderson, J. G. (2018). Magnitude as a function of rupture length and slip rate for recent large New Zealand earthquakes. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 108(3B), 1623-1629. doi: 10.1785/0120170284
Journal - Research Article
Bebbington, M. S., Stirling, M. W., Cronin, S., Wang, T., & Jolly, G. (2018). National-level long-term eruption forecasts by expert elicitation. Bulletin of Volcanology, 80, 56. doi: 10.1007/s00445-018-1230-4
Journal - Research Article
Stirling, M., & Gerstenberger, M. (2018). Applicability of the Gutenberg-Richter relation for major active faults in New Zealand. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 108(2), 718-728. doi: 10.1785/0120160257
Journal - Research Article
Stirling, M. (2017, March). Earthquakes, Quaternary faults, and seismic hazard in New Zealand and beyond. University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand. [Inaugural Professorial Lecture].
Other Research Output
Stirling, M., Bebbington, M., Brenna, M., Cronin, S., Christophersen, A., Deligne, N., … Wang, T., White, J. D. L., … Wilson, T. (2017). Conceptual development of a National Volcanic Hazard Model for New Zealand. Frontiers in Earth Science, 5, 51. doi: 10.3389/feart.2017.00051
Journal - Research Article
Stirling, M. W., Litchfield, N. J., Villamor, P., Van Dissen, R. J., Nicol, A., Pettinga, J., … Duke, G., … Sauer, K., … Toy, V., … Williams, J., … Zinke, R. (2017). The MW7.8 2016 Kaikōura earthquake: Surface fault rupture and seismic hazard context. Bulletin of the New Zealand Society for Earthquake Engineering, 50(2), 73-84.
Journal - Research Article
Hamling, I. J., Hreinsdóttir, S., Clark, K., Elliott, J., Liang, C., Fielding, E., … Denys, P., … Pearson, C., … Stirling, M. (2017). Complex multifault rupture during the 2016 Mw 7.8 Kaikōura earthquake, New Zealand. Science, 356(6334), eaam7194. doi: 10.1126/science.aam7194
Journal - Research Article
Stirling, M. W., & Zuniga, F. R. (2017). Shape of the magnitude–frequency distribution for the Canterbury Earthquake Sequence from integration of seismological and geological data [Short note]. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 107(1), 495-500. doi: 10.1785/0120160246
Journal - Research Other
Bebbington, M., Stirling, M., Cronin, S., Wang, T., & Jolly, G. (2016). Expert elicitation for a national-level volcano hazard model. Geophysical Research Abstracts, 18, EGU2016-3591. [Abstract]
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Stirling, M., & Della Pasqua, F. (2015). Erosion rates for pinnacles formed in soft sediments and implications for constraining seismic-hazard models. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 105(2A), 590-598. doi: 10.1785/0120140231
Journal - Research Article
Christopherson, A., Litchfield, N., Berryman, K., Thomas, R., Basili, R., Wallace, L., … Stirling, M. W., … Yeats, R. (2015). Development of the Global Earthquake Model’s neotectonic fault database. Natural Hazards, 79(1), 111-135. doi: 10.1007/s11069-015-1831-6
Journal - Research Article
Mountjoy, J. J., Micallef, A., Stevens, C. L., & Stirling, M. W. (2014). Holocene sedimentary activity in a non-terrestrially coupled submarine canyon: Cook Strait Canyon system, New Zealand. Deep Sea Research Part II, 104, 120-133. doi: 10.1016/j.dsr2.2013.09.001
Journal - Research Article
Gerstenberger, M., McVerry, G., Rhoades, D., & Stirling, M. (2014). Seismic hazard modeling for the recovery of Christchurch. Earthquake Spectra, 30(1), 17-29. doi: 10.1193/021913EQS037M
Journal - Research Article
Langridge, R., Howarth, J., Cochran, U., Stirling, M., Villamor, P., Sutherland, R., … Norris, R. (2014). Lidar reveals uniform Alpine fault offsets and bimodal plate boundary rupture behavior, New Zealand [Forum Comment]. Geology, 42(10), e351. doi: 10.1130/G35935C.1
Journal - Research Other
Stirling, M., Goded, T., Berryman, K., & Litchfield, N. (2013). Selection of earthquake scaling relationships for seismic-hazard analysis. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 103(6), 2993-3011. doi: 10.1785/0120130052
Journal - Research Article
Cox, S. C., Stirling, M. W., Herman, F., Gerstenberger, M., & Ristau, J. (2012). Potentially active faults in the rapidly eroding landscape adjacent to the Alpine Fault, central Southern Alps, New Zealand. Tectonics, 31(2), TC2011. doi: 10.1029/2011TC003038
Journal - Research Article
Bradley, B. A., Stirling, M. W., McVerry, G. H., & Gerstenberger, M. (2012). Consideration and propagation of epistemic uncertainties in New Zealand probabilistic seismic-hazard analysis. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 102(4), 1554-1568. doi: 10.1785/0120110257
Journal - Research Article
Villamor, P., Capote, R., Stirling, M. W., Tsige, M., Berryman, K. R., Martinez-Díaz, J. J., & Martin-González, F. (2012). Contribution of active faults in the intraplate area of Iberia to seismic hazard: The Alentejo-Plasencia Fault. Journal of Iberian Geology, 38(1), 85-111. doi: 10.5209/rev_JIGE.2012.v38.n1.39207
Journal - Research Article
Stirling, M. W. (2012). Earthquake hazard maps and objective testing: The hazard mapper's point of view. Seismological Research Letters, 83(2), 231-232. doi: 10.1785/gssrl.83.2.231
Journal - Research Other
Stirling, M., McVerry, G., Gerstenberger, M., Litchfield, N., Van Dissen, R., Berryman, K., … Jacobs, K. (2012). National seismic hazard model for New Zealand: 2010 update. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 102(4), 1514-1542. doi: 10.1785/0120110170
Journal - Research Article
Rhoades, D., & Stirling, M. W. (2012). An earthquake likelihood model based on proximity to mapped faults and cataloged earthquakes. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 102(4), 1593-1599. doi: 10.1785/0120110326
Journal - Research Article
Stirling, M., Litchfield, N., Gerstenberger, M., Clark, D., Bradley, B., Beavan, J., … Buxton, R. (2011). Preliminary probabilistic seismic hazard analysis of the CO2CRC Otway project site, Victoria, Australia. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 101(6), 2726-2736. doi: 10.1785/0120110049
Journal - Research Article
Stirling, M. W., Ledgerwood, J., Liu, T., & Apted, M. (2010). Age of unstable bedrock landforms southwest of Yucca Mountain, Nevada, and implications for past ground motions. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 100(1), 74-86. doi: 10.1785/0120080359
Journal - Research Article
Stirling, M., & Gerstenberger, M. (2010). Ground motion-based testing of seismic hazard models in New Zealand. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 100(4), 1407-1414. doi: 10.1785/0120090336
Journal - Research Article
Slejko, D., Caporali, A., Stirling, M., & Barba, S. (2010). Occurrence probability of moderate to large earthquakes in Italy based on new geophysical methods. Journal of Seismology, 14(1), 27-51. doi: 10.1007/s10950-009-9175-x
Journal - Research Article
Stirling, M., Berryman, K., Wallace, L. M., Litchfield, N. J., Beavan, J., & Smith, W. D. (2009). Multi-disciplinary probabilistic tectonic hazard analysis. In C. B. Connor, N. A. Chapman & J. Connor (Eds.), Volcanic and tectonic hazard assessment for nuclear facilities. (pp. 257-275). UK: Cambridge University Press. doi: 10.1017/CBO9780511635380.011
Chapter in Book - Research
Gerstenberger, M., Nicol, A., Stenhouse, M., Berryman, K., Stirling, M., Webb, T., & Smith, W. (2009). Modularised logic tree risk assessment method for carbon capture and storage projects. Energy Procedia, 1, 2495-2502. doi: 10.1016/j.egypro.2009.02.012
Journal - Research Article
Tormann, T., Savage, M. K., Smith, E. G. C., Stirling, M. W., & Wiemer, S. (2008). Time-, distance-, and magnitude-dependent foreshock probability model for New Zealand. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 98(5), 2149-2160. doi: 10.1785/0120060217
Journal - Research Article
Stirling, M., Gerstenberger, M., Litchfield, N., McVerry, G., Smith, W., Pettinga, J., & Barnes, P. (2008). Seismic hazard of the Canterbury Region, New Zealand: New earthquake source model and methodology. Bulletin of the New Zealand Society for Earthquake Engineering, 41(2), 51-67.
Journal - Research Article
Stirling, M. (2008). Simplified probabilistic seismic hazard model for Yucca mountain. Proceedings of the 12th International High-Level Radioactive Waste Management Conference. (pp. 521-523). La Grange Park, IL: American Nuclear Society. [Full Paper]
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Full paper
Power, W., Downes, G., & Stirling, M. (2007). Estimation of tsunami hazard in New Zealand due to South American earthquakes. Pure & Applied Geophysics, 164(2), 547-564. doi: 10.1007/s00024-006-0166-3
Journal - Research Article
Nodder, S. D., Lamarche, G., Proust, J.-N., & Stirling, M. (2007). Characterizing earthquake recurrence parameters for offshore faults in the low-strain, compressional Kapiti-Manawatu Fault System, New Zealand. Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 112, B12102. doi: 10.1029/2007JB005019
Journal - Research Article
Eberhart-Phillips, D., Sutherland, R., Eberhart-Phillips, D., Harris, R. A., Stern, T., Beavan, J., … Cox, S., Norris, R. J., … Cooper, A. F., … Stirling, M. (2007). Do great earthquakes occur on the Alpine fault in central South Island, New Zealand. In D. Okaya, T. Stern & F. Davey (Eds.), A continental plate boundary: Tectonics at South Island, New Zealand. (pp. 235-251). Washington, DC: American Geophysical Union. doi: 10.1029/175GM12
Chapter in Book - Research
Zachariasen, J., Berryman, K., Langridge, R., Prentice, C., Rymer, M., Stirling, M., & Villamor, P. (2006). Timing of late Holocene surface rupture of the Wairau Fault, Marlborough, New Zealand. New Zealand Journal of Geology & Geophysics, 49(1), 159-174. doi: 10.1080/00288306.2006.9515156
Journal - Research Article
Stirling, M. W., & Anooshehpoor, R. (2006). Constraints on probabilistic seismic-hazard models from unstable landform features in New Zealand. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 96(2), 404-414. doi: 10.1785/0120050034
Journal - Research Article
Stirling, M., & Petersen, M. (2006). Comparison of the historical record of earthquake hazard with seismic-hazard models for New Zealand and the continental United States. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 96(6), 1978-1994. doi: 10.1785/0120050176
Journal - Research Article
Stirling, M., Berryman, K., Wallace, L., Litchfield, N., Apted, M., & Cloos, M. (2006). Neotectonic considerations for nuclear waste repository site selection in Japan. Proceedings of the 11th International High Level Radioactive Waste Management (IHLRWM) Conference. (pp. 151-153). La Grange Park, IL: American Nuclear Society. [Full Paper]
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Full paper
Sutherland, R., Eberhart-Phillips, D., Harris, R. A., Stern, T., Beavan, J., Ellis, S., … Norris, R. J., … Cooper, A. F., … Stirling, M. (2006). Do great earthquakes occur on the Alpine Fault in central South Island, New Zealand? In B. Stewart, C. Wallace, J. Lecointre & M. Reyners (Eds.), Geological Society of New Zealand Miscellaneous Publication. 122A, (pp. 101). Wellington, New Zealand: GSNZ. [Abstract]
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Pace, B., Stirling, M. W., Litchfield, N. J., & Rieser, U. (2005). New active fault data and seismic hazard estimates for west Otago, New Zealand. New Zealand Journal of Geology & Geophysics, 48(1), 75-83. doi: 10.1080/00288306.2005.9515099
Journal - Research Article
Alloway, B., McComb, P., Neall, V., Vucetich, C., Gibb, J., Sherburn, S., & Stirling, M. (2005). Stratigraphy, age, and correlation of voluminous debris-avalanche events from an ancestral Egmont Volcano: Implications for coastal plain construction and regional hazard assessment. Journal of the Royal Society of New Zealand, 35, 229-267. doi: 10.1080/03014223.2005.9517782
Journal - Research Article
Stirling, M. W., McVerry, G. H., & Berryman, K. R. (2002). A new seismic hazard model for New Zealand. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 92(5), 1878-1903. doi: 10.1785/0120010156
Journal - Research Article
Stirling, M., Anoshehpoor, A., Brune, J. N., Biasi, G. P., & Wesnousky, S. G. (2002). Assessment of the site conditions of precariously balanced rocks in the Mojave Desert, southern California. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 92(6), 2139-2144. doi: 10.1785/0120010221
Journal - Research Article
Stirling, M., Rhoades, D., & Berryman, K. (2002). Comparison of earthquake scaling relations derived from data of the instrumental and preinstrumental era. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 92(2), 812-830. doi: 10.1785/0120000221
Journal - Research Article
Stirling, M. W., Wesnousky, S. G., & Berryman, K. R. (1998). Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis of New Zealand. New Zealand Journal of Geology & Geophysics, 41(4), 355-375. doi: 10.1080/00288306.1998.9514816
Journal - Research Article
Stirling, M. W., & Wesnousky, S. G. (1998). Comparison of recent probabilistic seismic hazard maps for southern California. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 88(3), 855-861.
Journal - Research Article
Stirling, M. W., Wesnousky, S. G., & Shimazaki, K. (1996). Fault trace complexity, cumulative slip, and the shape of the magnitude-frequency distribution for strike-slip faults: A global survey. Geophysical Journal International, 124(3), 833-868. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-246X.1996.tb05641.x
Journal - Research Article
Hirabayashi, C. K., Rockwell, T. K., Wesnousky, S. G., Stirling, M. W., & Suarez-Vidal, F. (1996). A neotectonic study of the San Miguel-Vallecitos fault, Baja California, Mexico. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 86(6), 1770-1783.
Journal - Research Article
Anderson, J. G., Wesnousky, S. G., & Stirling, M. W. (1996). Earthquake size as a function of fault slip rate. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 86(3), 683-690.
Journal - Research Article
Stirling, M. W. (1992). Late Holocene beach ridges displaced by the Wellington Fault in the Lower Hutt area, New Zealand. New Zealand Journal of Geology & Geophysics, 35, 447-453. doi: 10.1080/00288306.1992.9514539
Journal - Research Article
Stirling, M. W. (1991). Peneplain modification in an alpine environment of central Otago, New Zealand. New Zealand Journal of Geology & Geophysics, 34(2), 195-201. doi: 10.1080/00288306.1991.9514457
Journal - Research Article
Stirling, M. W. (1990). The Old Man Range and Garvie Mountains: Tectonic geomorphology of the Central Otago peneplain, New Zealand. New Zealand Journal of Geology & Geophysics, 33, 233-243. doi: 10.1080/00288306.1990.10425681
Journal - Research Article
Chair of Earthquake Science