2026
Journal - Research Other
Hoessly, L., & Parry, M. (2026). How to evaluate probabilistic prediction models: Key metrics. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, 194, 112247. doi: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2026.112247
2025
Chapter in Book - Research
Yassi, M., Moattar, M. H., Parry, M., & Chatterjee, A. (2025). Enhancing robust and stable feature selection through the integration of ranking methods and wrapper techniques in genetic data classification. In N. Raghavachari & N. Garcia-Reyero (Eds.), Methods in molecular biology: Gene expression analysis: Methods and protocols (Vol. 2880). (2nd ed.) (pp. 243-254). New York, NY: Humana Press. doi: 10.1007/978-1-0716-4276-4_12
Journal - Research Article
Anglemyer, A., Srinivas, A., McNeill, A., Gilkison Allen, C., Cooper, H., Morgan, J., … Parry, M., & Walls, T. (2025). Large reductions in invasive pneumococcal disease and related morbidities among children in New Zealand after change from PCV10 to PCV13. Journal of Infectious Diseases. Advance online publication. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiaf587
Wang, T., Fletcher, D., Parry, M., Rodger, C. J., Smith, A. W., & Petersen, T. (2025). Better forecasting of extreme geomagnetic storms using non-stationary statistical models. Space Weather, 23, e2025SW004404. doi: 10.1029/2025SW004404
Shahzadi, A., Wang, T., Parry, M., & Bebbington, M. (2025). Modelling time-inhomogeneous incomplete records of point processes using variants of hidden Markov models. Advances in Data Analysis & Classification. Advance online publication. doi: 10.1007/s11634-025-00632-x
Cox, C., Hatfield, T., Parry, M., & Fritz, Z. (2025). To what extent should doctors communicate diagnostic uncertainty with their patients? An empirical ethics vignette study. Journal of Medical Ethics. Advance online publication. doi: 10.1136/jme-2024-109932
2024
Journal - Research Article
Richter, M. E., Leonard, G. H., Smith, I. J., Langhorne, P. J., & Parry, M. (2024). The interannual variability of Antarctic fast-ice thickness in McMurdo Sound and connections to climate. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 129(12), e2023JG020134. doi: 10.1029/2023JC020134
Arnold, R., Binny, R. N., Lumley, T., Lustig, A., Parry, M., & Plank, M. J. (2024). Estimating the risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection in New Zealand border arrivals. BMC Global & Public Health, 2, 27. doi: 10.1186/s44263-024-00057-2
2023
Journal - Research Article
Fletcher, D., Dillingham, P. W., & Parry, M. (2023). A simple and robust approach to Bayesian modelling of overdispersed data. Environmental & Ecological Statistics, 30, 289-308. doi: 10.1007/s10651-023-00567-6
Richter, M. E., Leonard, G. H., Smith, I. J., Langhorne, P. J., Mahoney, A. R., & Parry, M. (2023). Accuracy and precision when deriving sea-ice thickness from thermistor strings: A comparison of methods. Journal of Glaciology, 69(276), 879-898. doi: 10.1017/jog.2022.108
Journal - Research Other
Yassi, M., Chatterjee, A., & Parry, M. (2023). Application of deep learning in cancer epigenetics through DNA methylation analysis. Briefings in Bioinformatics, 24(6). doi: 10.1093/bib/bbad411
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Wang, T., Parry, M., Rodger, C., Allen, J., & Petersen, T. (2023). Forecasting extreme geomagnetic storms using different statistical models. Proceedings of the European Geosciences Union (EGU) General Assembly. EGU23-11294. doi: 10.5194/egusphere-egu23-11294
Easterbrook-Clarke, L., Hardie, S., Petersen, T., Wang, T., Parry, M., Davison, A., … Rodger, C. J., … Oliver, W., & Williams, C. (2023). Digitising historical New Zealand paper magnetograms to extract one-minute data as input for modelling geomagnetic storms [Invited]. Proceedings of the 28th General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG). doi: 10.57757/IUGG23-0757
Nanayakkara, S., Zeng, J., Turner, R., Parry, M., & Sywak, M. (2023). Development and internal validation of clinical risk prediction models for structural recurrence disease of thyroid cancer. Proceedings of the New Zealand Biostatistics Conference. Retrieved from https://events.otago.ac.nz/2023-biostatistics-conference
Richter, M. E., Leonard, G. H., Smith, I. J., Langhorne, P. J., & Parry, M. (2023). Interannual variability of fast-ice thickness in McMurdo Sound: Drivers and trends. Proceedings of the New Zealand-Australia Antarctic Science Conference (NZAASC): Latitudes of Change. (pp. 84). Retrieved from https://www.nzaasc.org
2022
Journal - Research Article
Binny, R. N., Priest, P., French, N. P., Parry, M., Lustig, A., Hendy, S. C., … Plank, M. J. (2022). Sensitivity of RT-PCR tests for SARS-CoV-2 through time. Journal of Infectious Diseases. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiac317
Baeumer, B., Kovács, M., & Parry, M. (2022). A higher order resolvent-positive finite difference approximation for fractional derivatives on bounded domains. Fractional Calculus & Applied Analysis, 25, 299-319. doi: 10.1007/s13540-021-00013-z
2021
Journal - Research Article
Ahn, A., Rodger, E. J., Motwani, J., Gimenez, G., Stockwell, P. A., Parry, M., … Chatterjee, A., & Eccles, M. R. (2021). Transcriptional reprogramming and constitutive PD-L1 expression in melanoma are associated with dedifferentiation and activation of interferon and tumour necrosis factor signalling pathways. Cancers, 13, 4250. doi: 10.3390/cancers13174250
Craigie, A., McGregor, R., Whitcombe, A. L., Carlton, L., Harte, D., Sutherland, M., Parry, M., … Ussher, J., … Jack, S., & Upton, A. (2021). SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in the southern region of New Zealand, 2020. Pathology, 53(5), 645-651. doi: 10.1016/j.pathol.2021.04.001
Cao, Z., Bryant, D., Molteno, T. C. A., Fox, C., & Parry, M. (2021). V-spline: An adaptive smoothing spline for trajectory reconstruction. Sensors, 21, 3215. doi: 10.3390/s21093215
2020
Journal - Research Article
Wilson, N., Schwehm, M., Verrall, A. J., Parry, M., Baker, M. G., & Eichner, M. (2020). Detecting the re-emergent COVID-19 pandemic after elimination: Modelling study of combined primary care and hospital surveillance. New Zealand Medical Journal, 133(1524), 28-39. Retrieved from https://www.nzma.org.nz/journal
Martin, A., Parry, M., Soundy, A. W. R., Panckhurst, B. J., Brown, P., Molteno, T. C. A., & Schumayer, D. (2020). Improving real-time position estimation using correlated noise models. Sensors, 20, 5913. doi: 10.3390/s20205913
Anglemyer, A., Moore, T. H. M., Parker, L., Chambers, T., Grady, A., Chiu, K., Parry, M., … Bero, L. (2020). Digital contact tracing technologies in epidemics: A rapid review (Review). Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, 8, CD013699. doi: 10.1002%2F14651858.CD013699
Bowden, S. A., Stockwell, P. A., Rodger, E. J., Parry, M. F., Eccles, M. R., Stayner, C., & Chatterjee, A. (2020). Extensive inter-cyst DNA methylation variation in autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease revealed by genome scale sequencing. Frontiers in Genetics, 11, 348. doi: 10.3389/fgene.2020.00348
Bender, C. M., Brody, D. C., & Parry, M. F. (2020). Making sense of the divergent series for reconstructing a Hamiltonian from its eigenstates and eigenvalues. American Journal of Physics, 88(2), 148-152. doi: 10.1119/10.0000215
Brownlie, T., Bishop, T., Parry, M., Salmon, S. E., & Hunnam, J. C. (2020). Predicting the periodic risk of anthrax in livestock in Victoria, Australia, using meteorological data. International Journal of Biometeorology, 64, 601-610. doi: 10.1007/s00484-019-01849-0
Afroz, F., Parry, M., & Fletcher, D. (2020). Estimating overdispersion in sparse multinomial data. Biometrics, 76, 834-842. doi: 10.1111/biom.13194
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Full paper
Deng, J. D., & Parry, M. (2020). Data Science programmes: Is there an ideal design? Proceedings of the 62nd International Statistics Institute (ISI) World Statistics Congress: Special Topic Session. Vol. 3, (pp. 66-73). Putrajaya, Malaysia: Department of Statistics Malaysia. Retrieved from www.isi2019.org
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Ahn, A., Rodger, E. J., Stockwell, P. A., Parry, M., Motwani, J., Gallagher, S. J., … Chatterjee, A., & Eccles, M. R. (2020). mRNA and long non-coding RNA expression defines constitutive and inducible PD-L1 expression in melanoma and associated with treatment resistance and response. Proceedings of the Genetics Otago (GO) Epigenetics User Group (EUG) Symposium. Retrieved from https://blogs.otago.ac.nz/go/2020-3/
Parry, M. (2020). Statistical issues of methylation analysis [Invited]. Proceedings of the Genetics Otago (GO) Epigenetics User Group (EUG) Symposium. Retrieved from https://blogs.otago.ac.nz/go/2020-3/
Working Paper; Discussion Paper; Technical Report
Anglemyer, A., Parker, L., Chiu, K., Chambers, T., Wilczynska, M., Grady, A., … Parry, M. (2020). Contact tracing technologies in epidemics: A rapid review [CRD42020188946]. PROSPERO. Retrieved from https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero
2019
Journal - Research Article
Moffat, S., Fritz, Z., Slowther, A.-M., Parry, M., & Barclay, S. (2019). ‘Do not attempt CPR’ in the community: The experience of ambulance clinicians. Journal of Paramedic Practice, 11(5), 198-204. doi: 10.12968/jpar.2019.11.5.198
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Chatterjee, A., Rodger, E. J., Ahn, A., Stockwell, P. A., Parry, M., Gallagher, S., … Eccles, M. (2019). Methylome and transcriptome programme segregates PD-L1 expressing and non-expressing melanoma. Proceedings of the 16th Asian Conference on Transcription. (pp. 38-39). Retrieved from http://act2019.p.events4you.currinda.com/days/2019-12-02/
Parry, M. F., & Calvacanti, P. P. (2019). Archetypal analysis as an autoencoder with application to data imputation. Proceedings of the New Zealand Statistical Association Conference. (pp. 34). Retrieved from https://www.otago.ac.nz/nzsa/programme-and-speakers/
Chatterjee, A., Ahn, A., Rodger, E. J., Stockwell, P. A., Parry, M., Motwani, J., … Eccles, M. R. (2019). Global DNA methylation levels regulate PD-L1 expression in melanoma. Cancer Research, 79(13, Suppl.). doi: 10.1158/1538-7445.Am2019-826
Working Paper; Discussion Paper; Technical Report
Bender, C. M., Brody, D. C., & Parry, M. F. (2019). Making sense of the divergent series for reconstructing a Hamiltonian from its eigenstates and eigenvalues. arXiv. Retrieved from https://arxiv.org/abs/1906.03017
2018
Journal - Research Article
Torres, U., Godsoe, W., Buckley, H. L., Parry, M., Lustig, A., & Worner, S. P. (2018). Using niche conservatism information to prioritize hotspots of invasion by non-native freshwater invertebrates in New Zealand. Diversity & Distributions, 24(12), 1802-1815. doi: 10.1111/ddi.12818
Craig, H. J. B., Stachowicz, K., Black, M., Parry, M., Burke, C. R., Meier, S., & Amer, P. R. (2018). Genotype by environment interactions in fertility traits in New Zealand dairy cows. Journal of Dairy Science, 101, 10991-11003. doi: 10.3168/jds.2017-14195
Chatterjee, A., Rodger, E. J., Ahn, A., Stockwell, P. A., Parry, M., Motwani, J., … Eccles, M. R., & Hersey, P. (2018). Marked global DNA hypomethylation is associated with constitutive PD-L1 expression in melanoma. iScience, 4, 312-325. doi: 10.1016/j.isci.2018.05.021
Craig, A. P., Cunniffe, N. J., Parry, M., Laranjeira, F. F., & Gilligan, C. A. (2018). Grower and regulator conflict in management of the citrus disease Huanglongbing in Brazil: A modelling study. Journal of Applied Ecology, 55(4), 1956-1965. doi: 10.1111/1365-2664.13122
Conference Contribution - Poster Presentation (not in published proceedings)
Ahn, A., Rodger, E. J., Stockwell, P. A., Parry, M., Motwani, J., Gallagher, S. J., … Chatterjee, A., & Eccles, M. R. (2018, August). Investigating the role of DNA methylation, gene expression, long non-coding RNA and transposable elements in constitutive PD-L1 expression in melanoma cell lines. Poster session presented at the Queenstown Molecular Biology (QMB) Meetings, Queenstown, New Zealand.
Conference Contribution - Verbal presentation and other Conference outputs
Chatterjee, A., Rodger, E., Ahn, A., Stockwell, P., Parry, M., Motwani, J., … Eccles, M., & Hersey, P. (2018, August). Striking loss of global DNA methylation levels and constitutive PD-L1 expression in melanoma. Verbal presentation at the Queenstown Molecular Biology (QMB) Meetings, Queenstown, New Zealand.
2017
Journal - Research Article
Cameron, C., Iosua, E., Parry, M., Richards, R., & Jaye, C. (2017). More than just numbers: Challenges for professional statisticians. Statistics Education Research Journal, 16(2), 362-375. Retrieved from http://iase-web.org/Publications.php?p=SERJ
Chatterjee, A., Macaulay, E. C., Ahn, A., Ludgate, J. L., Stockwell, P. A., Weeks, R. J., Parry, M. F., Foster, T. J., … Eccles, M. R., & Morison, I. M. (2017). Comparative assessment of DNA methylation patterns between reduced representation bisulfite sequencing and Sequenom EpiTyper methylation analysis. Epigenomics, 9(6), 823-832. doi: 10.2217/epi-2016-0176
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Full paper
Martin, A. D., Soundy, A. W. R., Panckhurst, B. J., Brown, C. P., Schumayer, D., Molteno, T. C. A., & Parry, M. (2017). Real-time uncertainty quantification using correlated noise models for GNSS positioning. Proceedings of the IEEE Sensors Conference. IEEE. doi: 10.1109/ICSENS.2017.8233899
Conference Contribution - Poster Presentation (not in published proceedings)
Eccles, M. R., Chatterjee, A., Rodger, E. J., Ahn, A., Leichter, A., Motwani, J., Stockwell, P., & Parry, M. (2017, September). Epigenetic drivers of melanoma metastasis identified by genome-wide reduced-representation bisulphite sequencing (RRBS) analysis. Poster session presented at the Queenstown Molecular Biology (QMB) Meetings, Queenstown, New Zealand.
Eccles, M. R., Chatterjee, A., Rodger, E. J., Ahn, A., Leichter, A., Motwani, J., Stockwell, P., & Parry, M. (2017, September). Epigenetic driver of melanoma metastasis identified by genome-wide analysis. Poster session presented at the Queenstown Molecular Biology (QMB) Meetings, Queenstown, New Zealand.
Conference Contribution - Verbal presentation and other Conference outputs
Eccles, M. R., Chatterjee, A., Rodger, E. J., Ahn, A., Leichter, A., Motwani, J., Stockwell, P., Parry, M., … Gardner, J., … Sarwar, M., … multiple other members of The Maurice Wilkins Centre. (2017, September). Can research involving NZ melanoma patient participation and extensive networking by researchers help reduce the melanoma burden in NZ? Verbal presentation at the Queenstown Molecular Biology (QMB) Meetings, Queenstown, New Zealand.
Parry, M. (2017, July). Scoring rules for probabilistic binary classification. Verbal presentation at the International Statistical Institute (ISI) 61st World Statistics Congress, Marrakech, Morocco.
2016
Journal - Research Article
Roigé, M., Parry, M., Phillips, C., & Worner, S. (2016). Self-organizing maps for analysing pest profiles: Sensitivity analysis of weights and ranks. Ecological Modelling, 342, 113-122. doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2016.10.003
Whigham, P. A., Dick, G., & Parry, M. (2016). Network rewiring dynamics with convergence towards a star network. Proceedings of the Royal Society A, 472(2194), 20160236. doi: 10.1098/rspa.2016.0236
Chatterjee, A., Stockwell, P. A., Rodger, E. J., Parry, M. F., & Eccles, M. R. (2016). scan_tcga tools for integrated epigenomic and transcriptomic analysis of tumor subgroups. Epigenomics, 8(10), 1315-1330. doi: 10.2217/epi-2016-0063
Parry, M. (2016). Linear scoring rules for probabilistic binary classification. Electronic Journal of Statistics, 10(1), 1596-1607. doi: 10.1214/16-EJS1150
Parry, M. (2016). Extensive scoring rules. Electronic Journal of Statistics, 10(1), 1098-1108. doi: 10.1214/16-EJS1132
Chatterjee, A., Macaulay, E. C., Rodger, E. J., Stockwell, P. A., Parry, M. F., Roberts, H. E., Slatter, T. L., Hung, N. A., Devenish, C. J., & Morison, I. M. (2016). Placental hypomethylation is more pronounced in genomic loci devoid of retroelements. Genes Genomes Genetics, 6(7), 1911-1921. doi: 10.1534/g3.116.030379
Hiscott, G., Fox, C., Parry, M., & Bryant, D. (2016). Efficient recycled algorithms for quantitative trait models on phylogenies. Genome Biology & Evolution, 8(5), 1338-1350. doi: 10.1093/gbe/evw064
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Full paper
Patrick, M., Craig, A. P., Cunniffe, N. J., Parry, M., & Gilligan, C. A. (2016). Testing stochastic software using pseudo-oracles. Proceedings of the 25th International Symposium on Software Testing and Analysis (ISSTA). (pp. 235-246). New York, NY: ACM. doi: 10.1145/2931037.2931063
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Casey, B., McDonald, J., Matthaei, C., Fletcher, D., Parry, M., Cameron, C., & Dakson, C. (2016). Postgraduate peer statistics advisers: A pilot programme. Proceedings of the Tertiary Education Research in New Zealand (TERNZ) Conference. Retrieved from http://herdsa.org.nz/ternz/2016
Conference Contribution - Poster Presentation (not in published proceedings)
Macaulay, E. C., Chatterjee, A., Rodger, E. J., Stockwell, P. A., Parry, M. F., Roberts, H. E., Slatter, T. L., Hung, N. A., & Morison, I. M. (2016, March). Placental hypomethylation is more pronounced in genomic loci devoid of retroelements. Poster session presented at the Keystone Symposia on Molecular and Cellular Biology: Chromatin and Epigenetics, Whistler, Canada.
2015
Journal - Research Article
Chatterjee, A., Stockwell, P. A., Rodger, E. J., Duncan, E. J., Parry, M. F., Weeks, R. J., & Morison, I. M. (2015). Genome-wide DNA methylation map of human neutrophils reveals widespread inter-individual epigenetic variation. Scientific Reports, 5, 17328. doi: 10.1038/srep17328
2014
Journal - Research Article
Parry, M., Gibson, G. J., Parnell, S., Gottwald, T. R., Irey, M. S., Gast, T. C., & Gilligan, C. A. (2014). Bayesian inference for an emerging arboreal epidemic in the presence of control. PNAS, 111(17), 6258-6262. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1310997111
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Full paper
Martin, A. D., Molteno, T. C. A., & Parry, M. (2014). Measuring the performance of sensors that report uncertainty. Proceedings of the 21st Electronics New Zealand Conference (ENZCon). (pp. 57-61). University of Waikato, New Zealand: Electronics New Zealand. [Full Paper]
Parry, M. (2014). Local scoring rules and statistical inference in unnormalized models. In J. Rissanen, P. Myllymäki, T. Roos & N. P. Santhanam (Eds.), Proceedings of the Seventh Workshop on Information Theoretic Methods in Science and Engineering [Department of Computer Science: Series of Publications B: Report B-2014-4]. (pp. 13-15). [Full Paper]
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Roigé, M., Worner, S., Parry, M., & Phillips, C. (2014). Using pest assemblages to predict invasions: Validation tests for the self-organizing map approach. Proceedings of the New Zealand Ecological Society (NZES) Annual Conference. (pp. 73). Retrieved from http://newzealandecology.org/node/40
Conference Contribution - Verbal presentation and other Conference outputs
Deaker, L., Harraway, J., Wang, T., Parry, M., Schofield, M., Cox, N., & Davie, G. (2014, August). Where is Statistics heading? What should we be doing to future proof the profession? Invited presentation at the Box Plot II Symposium, Dunedin, New Zealand.
Working Paper; Discussion Paper; Technical Report
Martin, A. D., Molteno, T. C. A., & Parry, M. (2014). Measuring the performance of sensors that report uncertainty. arXiv. Retrieved from http://arxiv.org/abs/1411.4354v1
2013
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Full paper
Parry, M. (2013). Multidimensional local scoring rules. Proceedings of the 59th ISI World Statistics Congress of the International Statistical Institute. (pp. 1453-1458). The Hague, The Netherlands: International Statistical Institute. Retrieved from http://2013.isiproceedings.org/
Conference Contribution - Published proceedings: Abstract
Parry, M. (2013). Randomization and approximation in MCMC. Proceedings of the Joint New Zealand Statistical Association (NZSA) and Operations Research Society of New Zealand (ORSNZ) Conference: Analytics for a Changing World: From Data to Decisions. (pp. 57). Retrieved from https://secure.orsnz.org.nz/conf47/index.php
2012
Journal - Research Article
Brody, D. C., Meister, B. K., & Parry, M. F. (2012). Informational inefficiency in financial markets. Mathematics & Financial Economics, 6(3), 249-259. doi: 10.1007/s11579-012-0078-1
Parry, M., Dawid, A. P., & Lauritzen, S. (2012). Proper local scoring rules. Annals of Statistics, 40(1), 561-592. doi: 10.1214/12-AOS971
Dawid, A. P., Lauritzen, S., & Parry, M. (2012). Proper local scoring rules on discrete sample spaces. Annals of Statistics, 40(1), 593-608. doi: 10.1214/12-AOS972
2011
Working Paper; Discussion Paper; Technical Report
Dawid, A. P., Lauritzen, S., & Parry, M. (2011). Proper local scoring rules on discrete sample spaces. arXiv. Retrieved from http://arxiv.org/abs/1104.2224v1
Parry, M., Dawid, A. P., & Lauritzen, S. (2011). Proper local scoring rules. arXiv. Retrieved from http://arxiv.org/abs/1101.5011v1
2010
Journal - Research Article
Brody, D. C., Hughston, L. P., & Parry, M. F. (2010). Effects of quantum entanglement in phase transitions. Physics Letters A, 374(24), 2424-2428. doi: 10.1016/j.physleta.2010.03.060
Working Paper; Discussion Paper; Technical Report
Brody, D. C., Brody, J., Meister, B. K., & Parry, M. F. (2010). Outsider trading. arXiv. Retrieved from http://arxiv.org/abs/1003.0764v2
2006
Journal - Research Article
Parry, M. (2006). A rule of thumb for cosmological backreaction. Journal of Cosmology & Astroparticle Physics, 2006, 016. doi: 10.1088/1475-7516/2006/06/016
